One-Eyed Richmond Forum
Football => Richmond Rant => Topic started by: one-eyed on October 11, 2015, 04:12:09 PM
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The bookies apparently have us 6th in line for the 2016 premiership.
Who can challenge the Hawks?
Adelaide Advertiser
October 11, 2015
HAWTHORN is — by the bookmaker’s count of the money — the favourite to win the 2016 AFL premiership, extending its dynasty to four consecutive flags.
But who is the real challenger to the Hawks’ empire — or, as some may feel, the next victim to Alastair Clarkson’s genius in the AFL grand final?
The first betting market has West Coast favoured for a repeat challenge against the Hawks — and Port Adelaide to rebound from its disappointment to emerge as the next likely contender.
Much will change in the next month as the biggest player market opens at Etihad Stadium at 9.30am on Monday with the AFL trade period. Sydney’s status would be significantly enhanced — particularly with the Swans now able to trade again — by finding a key defender or new ruckman.
So how does the field look today? Teams are rated by the betting chart with figure in brackets detailing this year’s raking.
(2) WEST COAST $4.25
(9) PORT ADELAIDE $4.75
(3) FREMANTLE $9 - Lyon may watching events at Collingwood and Richmond where his third AFL coaching job may emerge.
(5) SYDNEY $11
(7) RICHMOND $13
KEVIN Bartlett says it is still “Tiger Time”. That gag noting Fitzroy, that is no longer a stand-alone club, has won more VFL-AFL finals since 1982 (Richmond’s last appearance in a grand final) hurts but highlights the pressure on the Tigers — and coach Damien Hardwick — after losing three consecutive elimination finals. West Coast did such in 2002-2004 — and then played in a grand final in 2005 and won a flag in 2006.
(6) ADELAIDE $13
(4) NORTH MELBOURNE $15
(10) GEELONG $15
(8 ) W BULLDOGS $17
(12) COLLINGWOOD $26
(11) GWS $34
(16) GOLD COAST $51
(15) ESSENDON $67
(14) ST KILDA $126
(13) MELBOURNE $126
(18) CARLTON $126
(17) BRISBANE $126
Betting odds from UBet.
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/sport/afl/as-hawthorn-starts-the-race-to-the-2016-afl-premiership-as-the-favourite-which-rival-is-the-genuine-challenger/story-fnia3nqh-1227563581616
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The bookies apparently have us 6th in line for the 2016 premiership.
:o
- Lyon may watching events at Collingwood and Richmond where his third AFL coaching job may emerge.
:shh
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So we d replace Hardwick with a coach that's never had a successful finals campaign , that makes sense ::)
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You mean replace a coach who's never won a final with a coach who's won 9 finals and made 2 GF's and a GF replay?
You're right, that does make sense....
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You mean replace a coach who's never won a final with a coach who's won 9 finals and made 2 GF's and a GF replay?
You're right, that does make sense....
' successful ' has a very fluid definition around here
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Updated 2016 premiership odds ...
$
HAWTHORN 3.50
WEST COAST 5
GEELONG 8
FREMANTLE 11
RICHMOND 13
SYDNEY 13
COLL'WOOD 15
NORTH MELB. 15
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PORT ADEL. 15
W.BULLDOGS 17
ADELAIDE 34
GWS 34
GOLD COAST 101
MELBOURNE 251
ST KILDA 251
BRISBANE 501
CARLTON 501 ;D
ESSENDON 1,001 ;D
https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/AFL%20Football/competitions/AFL%20Futures
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Hold the phone ....West Coast lost 3 Elimination finals in a row . By 33 points in 02 , by 56 in 03 and by 44 in 04.
They did not then spiral out of control ....but made the Grand Final the following next year . Won the premiership the next.
We are doomed.
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Lol Geelong @ $8
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Surprised Sydney behind us
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Surprised Sydney behind us
Sydney are our bunnies
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Makes sense chucky - would also explain why we're behind Geelong....
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Latest odds for the upcoming season. The Bookies have us finishing 5th-6th.
Premiership odds:
1. Hawthorn $ 3.50
2. West Coast $ 5
3. Geelong $ 8
4. Fremantle $ 10
5. Richmond $ 13
5. Sydney $ 13
7. Collingwood $ 15
7. North Melb. $ 15
7. Port Adel. $ 15
10. W.Bulldogs $ 17
11. Adelaide $ 34
12. GWS $ 51
13. Gold Coast $101
14. Essendon $251
14. Melbourne $251
16. St Kilda $251
17. Brisbane $501
17. Carlton $501
Top 4:
1. Hawthorn $ 1.45
2. West Coast $ 1.60
3. Geelong $ 2.00
4. Fremantle $ 2.25
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5. Richmond $ 3.00
5. Sydney $ 3.00
7. Port Adel. $ 3.25
8. North Melb. $ 3.50
8. Collingwood $ 3.50
10. W.Bulldogs $ 4.25
11. GWS $ 7.00
12. Adelaide $ 8.00
13. Gold Coast $ 11
14. Melbourne $ 51
14. St Kilda $ 51
16. Essendon $ 81
17. Brisbane $101
17. Carlton $101
Top 8:
1. Hawthorn $ 1.05
2. West Coast $ 1.15
3. Geelong $ 1.18
4. Fremantle $ 1.30
5. Richmond $ 1.45
5. Sydney $ 1.45
7. North Melb. $ 1.55
8. Port Adel. $ 1.60
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9. Collingwood $ 1.65
10. W.Bulldogs $ 1.75
11. Adelaide $ 2.50
11. GWS $ 2.50
13. Gold Coast $ 3.75
14. St Kilda $ 9.00
15. Melbourne $11
16. Brisbane $15
16. Carlton $15
16. Essendon $15
Richmond
Premiership odds: $13
Top 4: $3.00
Top 8: $1.45
Miss the top 8: $2.65
Most losses: $501
Top Brownlow hope: Trent Cotchin $21 ... [ Equal 8th favourite ]
Win over 13.5 games: $1.95
Win under 13.5 games: $1.85
Noticeable bet: $2,000 at $2.00 to win over 13.5 games
Odds: TAB
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/stuff-dangerfield-sparks-betting-frenzy-on-geelong-cats/news-story/190e2b4af41764d7de7b8908d9c062c3
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You mean replace a coach who's never won a final with a coach who's won 9 finals and made 2 GF's and a GF replay?
You're right, that does make sense....
It does make sense.
But would it be at the expense of going 1 step back to go many steps forward, taking into account of a differing coaching style and players having to learn maybe a whole new game plan.
I'd take that chance in a heartbeat.
Won't happen if we win a final this year though.
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Didn't Geelong win the flag in Scott's first year
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Hold the phone ....West Coast lost 3 Elimination finals in a row . By 33 points in 02 , by 56 in 03 and by 44 in 04.
They did not then spiral out of control ....but made the Grand Final the following next year . Won the premiership the next.
We are doomed.
I think they might have had some help to get them to the next level.
http://youtu.be/KwRvafqi_-U
http://www.crikey.com.au/2007/08/09/aker-yaps-kingdoms-crumble-but-isnt-that-his-job/?wpmp_switcher=mobile
http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2007-08-07/aka-stands-by-doping-allegation/2524150
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$31 for Martin to win the brownlow by the way ;)
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Richmond top 4 at $3 is tempting.
Jeezus. Maybe I have lost my mind