One-Eyed Richmond Forum

Football => Richmond Rant => Topic started by: one-eyed on March 04, 2018, 02:39:52 AM

Title: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
Post by: one-eyed on March 04, 2018, 02:39:52 AM

Champion Data results of 100,000 simulations of the 2018 season.

Methodology here ( https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316877322_Using_Player_Quality_and_Injury_Profiles_to_Simulate_Results_in_Australian_Football ) but with tweaks to how improvement/decline is modeled.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DXP11TzVAAAKljE.jpg)
https://twitter.com/championdata/status/969389883251814400

Title: Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
Post by: Dougeytherichmondfan on March 04, 2018, 12:15:10 PM

What did Champion data have us finishing last year?

Title: Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
Post by: mightytiges on March 04, 2018, 12:38:46 PM

Quote from: Dougeytherichmondfan on March 04, 2018, 12:15:10 PM

What did Champion data have us finishing last year?

10th with 10 wins plus a 25% chance of making the finals.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/how-many-games-will-your-club-win-in-2017-champion-datas-simulation-of-afl-season-for-every-team/news-story/1c9d3e4c2c1b1088f34d795b4cde517f


And once again they overrated Collingwood as a finalist  :wallywink.

Title: Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
Post by: Dougeytherichmondfan on March 04, 2018, 12:49:37 PM

Thanks MT. Interesting, they obviously missed by a fair margin, but most pundits predicted bottom 4 and sliding for 2017.

Title: Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
Post by: Hard Roar Tiger on March 04, 2018, 01:30:58 PM

Catman will have the same look of horror as he did during the qualifying final when he sees the cats ranking....

Title: Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
Post by: cub on March 04, 2018, 02:46:08 PM

Anyone else see Champion data mentioned anywhere and just skip to the next topic like me  :huh