One-Eyed Richmond Forum

Football => Richmond Rant => Topic started by: mightytiges on March 20, 2006, 02:30:21 AM

Title: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: mightytiges on March 20, 2006, 02:30:21 AM
Wooden Spoon odds (Centrebet)

CARLTON                2.10
HAWTHORN             5.50
RICHMOND              8.00
ESSENDON           11.00
KANGAROOS         11.00
COLLINGWOOD     15.00
MELBOURNE          21.00
PORT ADELAIDE    21.00
W.BULLDOGS        34.00

Premiership Odds

ADELAIDE             5.50
GEELONG              6.00
ST KILDA               6.00
WEST COAST        7.00
SYDNEY              10.00
BRISBANE           12.00
PORT ADELAIDE 21.00
COLLINGWOOD  23.00   - Deluded Pie supporters  :lol
W.BULLDOGS     23.00
ESSENDON         26.00
FREMANTLE        26.00
MELBOURNE       26.00
KANGAROOS      34.00
RICHMOND         34.00
HAWTHORN        51.00
CARLTON            81.00


Coleman Medal

Richo is 6th favourite at $15.
Browny is $34.

 
Brownlow Medal

Browny $51  -  Did someone at Centrebet forget he's coming back from a broken leg  ???
Lids      $67
Cogs    $81
Richo and Tuck  $126
Joel and Sugar  $151
Blingers  $331
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: julzqld on March 20, 2006, 08:26:05 AM
Geez some people are idiots :wallywink :banghead
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: PuntRdRoar on March 20, 2006, 08:48:04 AM
i think at the moment we are a bottom 4 club again. the bookmakers are right i reckon. Coughlan and Tucks odds for Brownlow are quite good and i may have some on them.
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: mightytiges on March 20, 2006, 03:31:56 PM
We probably won't win enough games for any of our blokes to be in the running for the Brownlow but if we somehow do far better than expected then Richo would be a show. He generally polls well.
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: WilliamPowell on March 20, 2006, 04:38:46 PM
$34.00 for the premiership seem good odds :rollin

What about the odds for us making the 8 ???
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: mightytiges on March 20, 2006, 04:51:56 PM
What about the odds for us making the 8 ???

Centrebet Odds - Top 8

ADELAIDE                1.15
GEELONG               1.20
ST KILDA                 1.20
WEST COAST         1.20
SYDNEY                  1.47
BRISBANE              1.60
FREMANTLE           1.65
COLLINGWOOD     2.10
ESSENDON            2.10
MELBOURNE         2.10
PORT ADELAIDE   2.10
W.BULLDOGS       2.10
KANGAROOS         2.75
RICHMOND            2.75
HAWTHORN           3.50
CARLTON               6.00
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: WilliamPowell on March 20, 2006, 04:56:26 PM
I have to admit that I have no idea when it comes to betting and odds

So is $2.75 good

It seems to me Centrebetis hedging its bets :lol :-\ (see I am trying to sound knowledgable but I know I am failing miserably  :help ;D)
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: mightytiges on March 21, 2006, 12:19:29 AM
I have to admit that I have no idea when it comes to betting and odds

So is $2.75 good

It seems to me Centrebetis hedging its bets :lol :-\ (see I am trying to sound knowledgable but I know I am failing miserably  :help ;D)

$2.00 is evens (1/1).

There are 16 clubs and 8 will funnily enough finish in the top 8. That's a 1 in 2 chance or probability p=1/2 or 0.5 of making the top 8 if all 16 clubs were rated equal.

The Odds are a ratio equal to the probability against an event occurring (1 - p) divided by the probability in favour of the same event occurring (p).

Odds of making the top 8 = (1 - p)/p = (1 - 0.5)/0.5 = 1/1.

So in terms of money you win a $1.00 plus the original $1 you bet = $2.00.

If the probability was say a 1 in 5 chance (p=1/5 or 0.2) then the Odds would be (1 - 0.2)/0.2 = 4/1 against. So the payout would be $4 plus the original $1 bet = $5.00.

So at $2.75 we're rated 7/4 to make the finals. The Blues are 5/1 ;D while Geelong are 1/5 or 5/1 on.

ps. apologies to a certain someone for the maths lol :shh
Title: Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
Post by: WilliamPowell on March 21, 2006, 11:38:45 AM

$2.00 is evens (1/1).

There are 16 clubs and 8 will funnily enough finish in the top 8. That's a 1 in 2 chance or probability p=1/2 or 0.5 of making the top 8 if all 16 clubs were rated equal.

The Odds are a ratio equal to the probability against an event occurring (1 - p) divided by the probability in favour of the same event occurring (p).

Odds of making the top 8 = (1 - p)/p = (1 - 0.5)/0.5 = 1/1.

So in terms of money you win a $1.00 plus the original $1 you bet = $2.00.

If the probability was say a 1 in 5 chance (p=1/5 or 0.2) then the Odds would be (1 - 0.2)/0.2 = 4/1 against. So the payout would be $4 plus the original $1 bet = $5.00.

So at $2.75 we're rated 7/4 to make the finals. The Blues are 5/1 ;D while Geelong are 1/5 or 5/1 on.

ps. apologies to a certain someone for the maths lol :shh

 :stupid
 :sleep 

Ok  :-\
Title: Tigers now favourite for spoon
Post by: one-eyed on April 03, 2006, 04:22:56 AM
Make that favourite for the spoon now at $2.20  ::)