Author Topic: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon  (Read 1551 times)

Offline mightytiges

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Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« on: March 20, 2006, 02:30:21 AM »
Wooden Spoon odds (Centrebet)

CARLTON                2.10
HAWTHORN             5.50
RICHMOND              8.00
ESSENDON           11.00
KANGAROOS         11.00
COLLINGWOOD     15.00
MELBOURNE          21.00
PORT ADELAIDE    21.00
W.BULLDOGS        34.00

Premiership Odds

ADELAIDE             5.50
GEELONG              6.00
ST KILDA               6.00
WEST COAST        7.00
SYDNEY              10.00
BRISBANE           12.00
PORT ADELAIDE 21.00
COLLINGWOOD  23.00   - Deluded Pie supporters  :lol
W.BULLDOGS     23.00
ESSENDON         26.00
FREMANTLE        26.00
MELBOURNE       26.00
KANGAROOS      34.00
RICHMOND         34.00
HAWTHORN        51.00
CARLTON            81.00


Coleman Medal

Richo is 6th favourite at $15.
Browny is $34.

 
Brownlow Medal

Browny $51  -  Did someone at Centrebet forget he's coming back from a broken leg  ???
Lids      $67
Cogs    $81
Richo and Tuck  $126
Joel and Sugar  $151
Blingers  $331
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Online julzqld

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2006, 08:26:05 AM »
Geez some people are idiots :wallywink :banghead

PuntRdRoar

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2006, 08:48:04 AM »
i think at the moment we are a bottom 4 club again. the bookmakers are right i reckon. Coughlan and Tucks odds for Brownlow are quite good and i may have some on them.

Offline mightytiges

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2006, 03:31:56 PM »
We probably won't win enough games for any of our blokes to be in the running for the Brownlow but if we somehow do far better than expected then Richo would be a show. He generally polls well.
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Offline WilliamPowell

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2006, 04:38:46 PM »
$34.00 for the premiership seem good odds :rollin

What about the odds for us making the 8 ???
"Oh yes I am a dreamer, I still see us flying high!"

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Offline mightytiges

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #5 on: March 20, 2006, 04:51:56 PM »
What about the odds for us making the 8 ???

Centrebet Odds - Top 8

ADELAIDE                1.15
GEELONG               1.20
ST KILDA                 1.20
WEST COAST         1.20
SYDNEY                  1.47
BRISBANE              1.60
FREMANTLE           1.65
COLLINGWOOD     2.10
ESSENDON            2.10
MELBOURNE         2.10
PORT ADELAIDE   2.10
W.BULLDOGS       2.10
KANGAROOS         2.75
RICHMOND            2.75
HAWTHORN           3.50
CARLTON               6.00
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Offline WilliamPowell

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #6 on: March 20, 2006, 04:56:26 PM »
I have to admit that I have no idea when it comes to betting and odds

So is $2.75 good

It seems to me Centrebetis hedging its bets :lol :-\ (see I am trying to sound knowledgable but I know I am failing miserably  :help ;D)
"Oh yes I am a dreamer, I still see us flying high!"

from the song "Don't Walk Away" by Pat Benatar 1988 (Wide Awake In Dreamland)

Offline mightytiges

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2006, 12:19:29 AM »
I have to admit that I have no idea when it comes to betting and odds

So is $2.75 good

It seems to me Centrebetis hedging its bets :lol :-\ (see I am trying to sound knowledgable but I know I am failing miserably  :help ;D)

$2.00 is evens (1/1).

There are 16 clubs and 8 will funnily enough finish in the top 8. That's a 1 in 2 chance or probability p=1/2 or 0.5 of making the top 8 if all 16 clubs were rated equal.

The Odds are a ratio equal to the probability against an event occurring (1 - p) divided by the probability in favour of the same event occurring (p).

Odds of making the top 8 = (1 - p)/p = (1 - 0.5)/0.5 = 1/1.

So in terms of money you win a $1.00 plus the original $1 you bet = $2.00.

If the probability was say a 1 in 5 chance (p=1/5 or 0.2) then the Odds would be (1 - 0.2)/0.2 = 4/1 against. So the payout would be $4 plus the original $1 bet = $5.00.

So at $2.75 we're rated 7/4 to make the finals. The Blues are 5/1 ;D while Geelong are 1/5 or 5/1 on.

ps. apologies to a certain someone for the maths lol :shh
« Last Edit: March 21, 2006, 01:33:26 AM by mightytiges »
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Offline WilliamPowell

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Re: Tigers 3rd favourite for spoon
« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2006, 11:38:45 AM »

$2.00 is evens (1/1).

There are 16 clubs and 8 will funnily enough finish in the top 8. That's a 1 in 2 chance or probability p=1/2 or 0.5 of making the top 8 if all 16 clubs were rated equal.

The Odds are a ratio equal to the probability against an event occurring (1 - p) divided by the probability in favour of the same event occurring (p).

Odds of making the top 8 = (1 - p)/p = (1 - 0.5)/0.5 = 1/1.

So in terms of money you win a $1.00 plus the original $1 you bet = $2.00.

If the probability was say a 1 in 5 chance (p=1/5 or 0.2) then the Odds would be (1 - 0.2)/0.2 = 4/1 against. So the payout would be $4 plus the original $1 bet = $5.00.

So at $2.75 we're rated 7/4 to make the finals. The Blues are 5/1 ;D while Geelong are 1/5 or 5/1 on.

ps. apologies to a certain someone for the maths lol :shh

 :stupid
 :sleep 

Ok  :-\
"Oh yes I am a dreamer, I still see us flying high!"

from the song "Don't Walk Away" by Pat Benatar 1988 (Wide Awake In Dreamland)

Offline one-eyed

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Tigers now favourite for spoon
« Reply #9 on: April 03, 2006, 04:22:56 AM »
Make that favourite for the spoon now at $2.20  ::)