One-Eyed Richmond Forum
Football => Richmond Rant => Topic started by: torch on February 23, 2010, 12:18:27 AM
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How Many Wins Will Richmond Win?
yellow - Home Matches.
you can use this layout and Bold your predicted Richmond wins.
1 Carlton (MCG)
2 Western (MCG)
3 Sydney (SCG)
4 Melbourne (MCG)
5 Fremantle (S)
6 Geelong (SS)
7 Adelaide (AS)
8 Hawthorn (MCG)
9 Essendon (MCG)
10 Port Adelaide (AS)
11 St Kilda (ES)
12 West Coast (MCG)
13 Brisbane (G)
14 Sydney (MCG)
15 Fremantle (ES)
16 North Melbourne (MCG)
17 Collingwood (MCG)
18 Adelaide (MCG)
19 Melbourne (MCG)
20 Carlton (MCG)
21 St Kilda (ES)
22 Port Adelaide (ES)
:)
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3-6 wins for mine. A bottom 3 finish.
It would be great for the confidence of the cubs to have one day out during the season where everything and everyone clicks and they score a surprise win against a good side but I think we'll be vying for wins against other bottom 6-8 sides. I care more about the cubs' development and forming the basis of a team structure this year that we can take forward with confidence and that will eventually stack up in finals as the list matures.
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Not enough
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0 - sorry, I don't see the talent, experience or depth in our line-up to win a single game. They could possibly fluke one or two, who knows.
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We'll win the wins and lose the losses. ;D
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We'll win the wins and lose the losses. ;D
Totally agree ;D :thumbsup
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We'll win the wins and lose the losses. ;D
Totally agree ;D :thumbsup
We'd win 100% of them you'd reckon.
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Depends. Some people don't think we won our win and that Melbourne had a win with their loss. :-\ :gotigers
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4-7 methinks.
Carlton x 1
Melbourne x 2
Freo x 1 possibly 2
Bombers x 1 possibly 2
Possibly North x 1
Any more would be considered upsets. However if the game plan clicks with the players sooner rather than later, we could end up with a couple more but finals are extremely unlikely.
One thing on our side is zero expectations or pressures on the playing group which may have a positive effect. Obviously the pressure will still be on for those under performers who's contracts end this year.
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Its nice to see a few tiger fans optimistic.
Its people like you who are going to keep the odds on us getting beat every week reasonable.
Remember, it is www.betfair.com
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3
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1 Carlton (MCG)
2 Western (MCG)
3 Sydney (SCG)
4 Melbourne (MCG)
5 Fremantle (S)
6 Geelong (SS)
7 Adelaide (AS)
8 Hawthorn (MCG)
9 Essendon (MCG)
10 Port Adelaide (AS)
11 St Kilda (ES)
12 West Coast (MCG)
13 Brisbane (G)
14 Sydney (MCG)
15 Fremantle (ES)
16 North Melbourne (MCG)
17 Collingwood (MCG)
18 Adelaide (MCG)
19 Melbourne (MCG)
20 Carlton (MCG)
21 St Kilda (ES)
22 Port Adelaide (ES)
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0 - sorry, I don't see the talent, experience or depth in our line-up to win a single game. They could possibly fluke one or two, who knows.
Maybe you should actually go to a few games then :)
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0 - sorry, I don't see the talent, experience or depth in our line-up to win a single game. They could possibly fluke one or two, who knows.
Maybe you should actually go to a few games then :)
I did and will. That's where I got my assessment from. It's okay to be optimistic, but ppl being realistic wouldn't go astray either. You think they're going to win 10 or so games I'm expecting. Well, IMO - read again, IMO - that isn't going to happen based on what I said before. I saw enough games last year to not get high hopes lol for this year, dear. People who have unreal expectations, and Richmond is full of them, only put pressure on the club when they don't meet their unrealistic hopes. A year or so ago, you might have expected them to win 10 games, but how possibly could you expect this group to climb the ladder this year? I don't judge preseason games, but it's hard not to look at the group and think they're a couple of years away from it yet.
I just want them to do their best and get better each week, improve their skills and not get flogged like they used to. And even if they are, to give us something to look forward to in the future.
I'm not being anti-Richmond by giving them little chance, that's just how I see it.
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Not enough
Weren't you tipping us to surprise this year after the departure of Wallace?
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Can you lose a win and win a loss?
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Depends. Some people don't think we won our win and that Melbourne had a win with their loss. :-\ :gotigers
You can always be relied upon to make a sensible reply to a post 'Fishie" :thumbsup
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0 - sorry, I don't see the talent, experience or depth in our line-up to win a single game. They could possibly fluke one or two, who knows.
more than happy to have a bet you're wrong.
How much?
Reckon you might have a few takers!!!
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Not enough
Weren't you tipping us to surprise this year after the departure of Wallace?
7th-8th wasn't it? :wallywink
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1 Carlton (MCG) (50/50)
2 Western (MCG)
3 Sydney (SCG)
4 Melbourne (MCG)
5 Fremantle (S) (50/50)
6 Geelong (SS)
7 Adelaide (AS)
8 Hawthorn (MCG)
9 Essendon (MCG) (50/50)
10 Port Adelaide (AS)
11 St Kilda (ES)
12 West Coast (MCG) (50/50)
13 Brisbane (G)
14 Sydney (MCG)
15 Fremantle (ES)
16 North Melbourne (MCG) (50/50)
17 Collingwood (MCG)
18 Adelaide (MCG)
19 Melbourne (MCG)
20 Carlton (MCG) (50/50)
21 St Kilda (ES)
22 Port Adelaide (ES) (50/50)
Wins - 3
50/50 Possible Wins - 7
Round 16, 20 and 22, if we are out of the finals (which is highly likely) we will "Tank"!
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Not enough
Weren't you tipping us to surprise this year after the departure of Wallace?
7th-8th wasn't it? :wallywink
I think the term Jack used was "Improve out of sght"....didn't take long to abandon ship.
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0 - sorry, I don't see the talent, experience or depth in our line-up to win a single game. They could possibly fluke one or two, who knows.
You must be in a dark place FNM....however as Richmond supporters we have all been there.
Even Fitzroy won a game in their final year.
Last year we won 3.5 games under the tenure of "Jade the blade".... and we were an absolute rable.
While Im not expecting 2010 to be pretty-I can see us matching last years tally of 5.5 wins.minimum.
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We're favourite for the Spoon with the bookies......
2010 AFL Wooden Spoon
RICHMOND 3.50 $
FREMANTLE 4.00 $
MELBOURNE 4.00 $
NORTH MELBOURNE 5.50 $
PORT ADELAIDE 13.00 $
WEST COAST 13.00 $
ESSENDON 17.00 $
SYDNEY 17.00 $
CARLTON 41.00 $
2010 AFL Final 8
GEELONG 1.03 $
ST KILDA 1.03 $
W.BULLDOGS 1.10 $
ADELAIDE 1.15 $
COLLINGWOOD 1.20 $
HAWTHORN 1.20 $
BRISBANE 1.25 $
CARLTON 1.80 $
ESSENDON 3.00 $
SYDNEY 3.00 $
PORT ADELAIDE 3.50 $
WEST COAST 3.50 $
NORTH MELBOURNE 5.00 $
RICHMOND 5.50 $
FREMANTLE 6.00 $
MELBOURNE 6.50
http://www.tab.com.au/Sports/Betting/PlaceFixedOddsBet.aspx?State=1&LocationCode=0&Competition=101&ContestCode=115464&ContestDate=2010-09-25T00%3a00%3a00&MeetingType=1
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And yet they rate us a better chance to make the 8 than Melbourne or Fremantle! Go figure.
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we will win less than 6-7 games this year.
Those wins will be on the back of our youth steadily improving and showing sprinkles of their talent. We will have a year not unlike 2009 in results but polar apposite in the form of content.
We will have a clearly defined game plan and a concise and clearly identifiable manner of appraising our young players performance.
We will be the youngest team in the AFL in the form of experience and age.
By the end of the year if all goes well, Griffiths Astbury and young Jack form a FUNCTIONAL cohesive forward line
By the end of the year Cotch, Lids, Foley, Martin under the leadership of Cousins will begin beating opposition midfields on just talent alone.
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:)
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:)
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Every wins a bonus this year so long as we don't jeopardise pick 4
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I think 4-7 is realistic this season, and possibly close to 11 wins as soon as next season.
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I think we will win every game we win.
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I think we will win every game we win.
I like your thinking! :thumbsup
And my tips each week will reflect that thinking. Now, tell me again why I never win footy tipping comps. :-[
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Every wins a bonus this year so long as we don't jeopardise pick 4
Geez with Jurrah and Morton out for half a season, don't count out the Demons getting pick 4 and 6.
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Don't think they can get 2 picks at the start of the draft this year
As far as I'm aware Priority Picks are on hold
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Don't think they can get 2 picks at the start of the draft this year
As far as I'm aware Priority Picks are on hold
That's what I thought Infamy as the AFL wanted all of GC17's picks set in stone. One of their first 3 picks is already signed up. The Herald-Sun confused everyone saying Melbourne could get a priority pick if they won only 4 or less games again. At best priority picks will be up to the AFL's discretion. That's what I heard. If any club deserves a PP it's us given we've had the longest streak without a finals appearance.
If Melbourne did win only 4 games surely Bailey would get the stuff despite the contract extension.
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4-5 wins and a number of hydings. I think we should steel ourselves up for a few real old fashion thrashings
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Well I will go out on a limb yet again and be abused for it.... yet again... ;D. IF..IF...IF we can prevent ball turnover and adapt to our game plan earlier than expected then 8-10 games would not be out of the question, including a top 8 spot. Really, the turnovers have killed us forever, get over that and from what I have seen, read and heard with the rest of our play we should go ok.
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4-5 wins and a number of hydings. I think we should steel ourselves up for a few real old fashion thrashings
Yep a good win one week a 100 point turnaround the next.
The ups and down of a young young side.
I remember the Hawks went through that in 2005.
4-6 wins is the expectation still.
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At the other end of the scale Richmond ($3.25) has taken over wooden spoon favouritism from Melbourne ($3.75).
Davies said the Tigers have clearly been the best backed team after a couple of inept pre-season performances.
Fremantle at $4.25 and North Melbourne ($6), somewhat surprisingly, are the only other sides under double figures.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/betting-gone-to-the-dogs/story-e6frf9if-1225841119601
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1 Carlton (MCG)
2 Western (MCG)
3 Sydney (SCG)
4 Melbourne (MCG)
5 Fremantle (S)
6 Geelong (SS)
7 Adelaide (AS)
8 Hawthorn (MCG)
9 Essendon (MCG)
10 Port Adelaide (AS)
11 St Kilda (ES)
12 West Coast (MCG)
13 Brisbane (G)
14 Sydney (MCG)
15 Fremantle (ES)
16 North Melbourne (MCG)
17 Collingwood (MCG)
18 Adelaide (MCG)
19 Melbourne (MCG)
20 Carlton (MCG)
21 St Kilda (ES)
22 Port Adelaide (ES)
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Thread title needs to be changed IMO, how do you win a win, you can win a game though...... ;D ;D
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How many games do people think we will win now?
A 0-3 start isn't entirely unexpected, but we have hardly been competitive for a quarter of football.
I said in another thread we would go winless and its not looking so improbable.
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One maybe if we are lucky
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the answer NIL.
This topic should be renamed.
How many quarters will we win. ?
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the answer NIL.
This topic sholdnt we be renamed.
How many quarters will we win. ?
Right now we look like winning a quarter only when a team takes it's foot of the pedal.
It's 10 quarters down and counting.
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Thread title needs to be changed IMO, how do you win a win, you can win a game though...... ;D ;D
thanks for that minister.
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Will any club kick the all time record sweep against us. I reckon Geelong big chance to score 40 goals if there on.
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Will any club kick the all time record sweep against us. I reckon Geelong big chance to score 40 goals if there on.
If it stays dry in round 6 at Kardinia Park with not much wind coupled with a Geelong loss the week before or them needing to prove a point to the competition much to the round 6 demolition in 2007 then the AFL record score could be under threat.
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We won the last quarter by 2 points. :rollin
Tiny tiny footsteps.
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We won the last quarter by 2 points. :rollin
Tiny tiny footsteps.
We were hopeless, Swans lost the last quarter by 2 ponits
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the answer NIL.
This topic should be renamed.
How many quarters will we win. ?
1 - so fair!
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If not next week then not until the second half of the year at least.
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We will beat any side that doesn't turn up to play.
We wont beat many that do.
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We will beat any side that doesn't turn up to play.
We wont beat many that do.
Maybe thats the answer, lets turn up 24hrs before the opposition
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When do we play Adelaide ? ;) :P
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When do we play Adelaide ? ;) :P
Mother's day = SUnday May 9th
Twilight game - looking forward to the trip :yep :yep :nope :nope
:eyebrow :eyebrow :'( :'(
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By the time we play the Crows they will probably have their injured players back and be at full strength. We never beat them anyway, another bogey side for us. I think the last time we beat them Schulz kicked 6.
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Sportingbet Australia has opened a market on when the Tigers will break through for a win.
''There have been no huge bets yet, but punters are certainly keen to take the $8 about a winless season at Tigerland," Sportingbet chief executive Michael Sullivan said.
The Tigers are also the worst performing club in several key indicators heading into round four this season- averaging 64 fewer effective kicks than their opposition and 124 fewer disposals.
http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/strifetorn-tigers-could-turn-to-strifeprone-teenager-20100413-s7l8.html
The Tigers' troubles have prompted bookmakers to ramp up the odds of them beating the Demons on Sunday, and open markets on whether they will have the first winless AFL/VFL season of any team since Fitzroy in 1964.
Sportingbet Australia chief executive Michael Sullivan said punters had been keen to take their $8.00 odds of the Tigers failing to notch a victory, while Sportsbet.com.au is offering $5.00.
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-sport/cousins-has-given-critics-ammunition-20100413-s5ky.html
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Zooming to spoon
Jon Anderson
Herald Sun
April 19, 2010
Sadly for the Tigers it's as $1.20 favourites with TAB Sportsbet to collect the poisoned chalice, otherwise known as the competition's wooden spoon.
"It's hard to see where they will win a game and punters have reacted accordingly," Gary Davies of TAB Sportsbet said.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/zooming-to-spoon/story-e6frf9jf-1225855257599
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Bookies pay out on Tigers for spoon
* AAP
* From: Herald Sun
* April 19, 2010 2:20PM
RICHMOND'S dismal start to the season has prompted a betting agency to pay out punters who backed the Tigers for the wooden spoon 18 rounds early.
Richmond's 55-point loss to Melbourne -- the bottom-placed club of the past two seasons -- was enough to convince online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au the Tigers can't climb from the foot of the ladder.
The agency has paid out more than $100,000 to punters who backed the Tigers to finish last, reasoning that it is already a foregone conclusion.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/bookies-pay-out-on-tigers-for-spoon/story-e6frf9jf-1225855507313
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Bookies pay out on Tigers for spoon
* AAP
* From: Herald Sun
* April 19, 2010 2:20PM
RICHMOND'S dismal start to the season has prompted a betting agency to pay out punters who backed the Tigers for the wooden spoon 18 rounds early.
Richmond's 55-point loss to Melbourne -- the bottom-placed club of the past two seasons -- was enough to convince online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au the Tigers can't climb from the foot of the ladder.
The agency has paid out more than $100,000 to punters who backed the Tigers to finish last, reasoning that it is already a foregone conclusion.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/bookies-pay-out-on-tigers-for-spoon/story-e6frf9jf-1225855507313
And to think we were looking at Sportsbet.com.au to be one of major sponsors before LuXbet came along
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Bookies pay out on Tigers for spoon
* AAP
* From: Herald Sun
* April 19, 2010 2:20PM
RICHMOND'S dismal start to the season has prompted a betting agency to pay out punters who backed the Tigers for the wooden spoon 18 rounds early.
Richmond's 55-point loss to Melbourne -- the bottom-placed club of the past two seasons -- was enough to convince online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au the Tigers can't climb from the foot of the ladder.
The agency has paid out more than $100,000 to punters who backed the Tigers to finish last, reasoning that it is already a foregone conclusion.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/bookies-pay-out-on-tigers-for-spoon/story-e6frf9jf-1225855507313
I got my money, paid for the membership :thumbsup ;)
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It's hard to see us pushing Port or the Saints for 4 quarters in the next two weeks. The Eagles at the 'G in round 12 would be our next best chance of scoring our first win for the year. They should be coming off 3 straight losses by then too so their confidence shouldn't be sky high. North in round 16 would be next best chance for a win after that.
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hopefully we get a lucky win over a team one round this year even tho we nearly had it last week against the hawks.
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It's got to happen......... doesn't it...........please...... ;D. It will all click soon and we will get one.
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i cant see where the win will come from to be honest....however in Damo we pray
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Round 12 vs the West Coast Eagles at the MCG will be our first win of the year.
Jackson, Connors, Tambling will be in the side.
Griffiths is every chance to be right for this game.
Gourdis can be elevated at this point as well i believe.
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Round 12 vs the West Coast Eagles at the MCG will be our first win of the year.
Jackson, Connors, Tambling will be in the side.
Griffiths is every chance to be right for this game.
Gourdis can be elevated at this point as well i believe.
What have you heard about Griffiths CV, it's just that Infamy was saying he was injured again??
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Re-injured?? As in again since the Casey game?! cause I haven't heard about that... I heard it was just some bruising and he would of played this week if coburg were playing. But I'm in no way in the know when it comes to these matters and I can only gather from bigfooty that he is alright... But then that isn't the best source of info...
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Re-injured?? As in again since the Casey game?! cause I haven't heard about that... I heard it was just some bruising and he would of played this week if coburg were playing. But I'm in no way in the know when it comes to these matters and I can only gather from bigfooty that he is alright... But then that isn't the best source of info...
Sorry CV I got it wrong, I was actually talking with Infamy today on the forum about our forward line and how good Bradshaw could have been to help Riewoldt. He was saying Bradshaw was injured... :-[ :-[, whoops sorry.
It would be great to have him (Griffiths) in soon but I am not sure we will, is he even in the Coburg seniors yet, I think he has only played one game hasn't he???
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0 - sorry, I don't see the talent, experience or depth in our line-up to win a single game. They could possibly fluke one or two, who knows.
My opinion hasn't changed
Has yours?
And sorry, I don't bet on an outcome where I'm barracking for Richmond to lose games ::)
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3
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Looking at the next 4 weeks
Port - not over there
St Kilda - We wont kick 6 goals
WCE - real chance
Brisbane Lions - anything can happen the way they are going depends on Brown's fitness
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After the Port - Melbourne game the other night my mate said, "without knowing who who they play next week, both sides will loose". He could be right.
It was a very intense game played in (unseasonal) very warm and humid conditions. You worked up a sweat just sitting there watching game and many in the crowd were continually fanning themselves with their records.
At each break both teams left the ground, presumably into cool rooms.
Melbourne in particular looked spent at half time. I was really surprised they maintained their intensity for the whole game. (they did drop off towards the end of the 1st, 2nd and last quarters, but had to pick up again to wrestle back the lead at the end of the game.
Port had to work very hard in trying conditions to get back into the game and both sides dug deep for the last 10-15 minutes of the game. This game would have knocked the crap out of both these side, who then had a 4hr + flight home.
Whether the result has any influence on how well port back up, I don't know, but they could very well be flat next week. If we can maintain our intensity for the whole game like against Whorethorne then I believe we are a chance to knock Port.
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After the Port - Melbourne game the other night my mate said, "without knowing who who they play next week, both sides will loose". He could be right.
It was a very intense game played in (unseasonal) very warm and humid conditions. You worked up a sweat just sitting there watching game and many in the crowd were continually fanning themselves with their records.
At each break both teams left the ground, presumably into cool rooms.
Melbourne in particular looked spent at half time. I was really surprised they maintained their intensity for the whole game. (they did drop off towards the end of the 1st, 2nd and last quarters, but had to pick up again to wrestle back the lead at the end of the game.
Port had to work very hard in trying conditions to get back into the game and both sides dug deep for the last 10-15 minutes of the game. This game would have knocked the crap out of both these side, who then had a 4hr + flight home.
Whether the result has any influence on how well port back up, I don't know, but they could very well be flat next week. If we can maintain our intensity for the whole game like against Whorethorne then I believe we are a chance to knock Port.
Melbourne may lose Al, but Port won't... ;D
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Round 12 vs the West Coast Eagles at the MCG will be our first win of the year.
Jackson, Connors, Tambling will be in the side.
Griffiths is every chance to be right for this game.
Gourdis can be elevated at this point as well i believe.
Yep after round 11 we can elevate another rookie without needing anyone on the LTIL.
Beating the Eagles will all depend on how we handle NicNat and Cox in the ruck. That's the one area they have all over us.
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Hawthorn was the only club where we were on a par or slightly below them with Renouf and Skipper and we ran them to 3 points. In all other matches we have been horribly outclassed in the ruck and as a result it has translated on the scoreboard. We need a decent ruckman and fast!
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Hawthorn was the only club where we were on a par or slightly below them with Renouf and Skipper and we ran them to 3 points. In all other matches we have been horribly outclassed in the ruck and as a result it has translated on the scoreboard. We need a decent ruckman and fast!
I didn't see the Adelaide game, but Hawthorn were the only opponents I have seen this season who also made numerous unforced errors under no pressure. You are right though....
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Can the first one be today :pray :gotigers
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On target ;D
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Hawthorn was the only club where we were on a par or slightly below them with Renouf and Skipper and we ran them to 3 points. In all other matches we have been horribly outclassed in the ruck and as a result it has translated on the scoreboard. We need a decent ruckman and fast!
I didn't see the Adelaide game, but Hawthorn were the only opponents I have seen this season who also made numerous unforced errors under no pressure. You are right though....
Look kudos to the boys for putting in a great effort and winning but Brogan not playing today really helped our cause also and Angus stepped up accordingly and did what he had to do which was pleasing.
Last week he struggled slightly against Hille and next week presents another challenge in Gardiner.
Hopefully Angus can slowly start holding his own against these sort of monsters in the ruck and start to address the real need we have in finding a quality ruckman.
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Hopefully 4
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on track for 12 ;D
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on track for 12 ;D
Typo there Suffered. I had us pencilled in for 2.
3 at most. ;D
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I reckon we can win at least 5 games now....but do we want to :shh
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According to Matthew Lloyd....
RICHMOND
Now: 2-10, 67.68, 16th ....... [Ed. make that 3-10, 71%, 16th ]
The players are continually growing under Damien Hardwick and getting more competitive with every game they play. The Tigers will be a dangerous opponent for any opposition in coming weeks. Expect them to win another three games. How good are Jack Riewoldt's hands!
Prediction — 15th
http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/sizzlers--sliders-20100619-yo0r.html
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On target ;D
;D :thumbsup
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We will win more than I thought we would, in fact we already have
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3
On target ;D
;D :thumbsup
Weve gone to early - looking at 5 or 6 now I reckon
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Rd 14 Sydney MCG
Rd 15 Freo Dock
Rd 16 Kangas MCG
Rd 17 Pies MCG
Rd 18 Adelaide MCG
Rd 19 Melb MCG
Rd 20 Carlton MCG
Rd 21 Saints Dock
Rd 22 Port MCG
On paper there are quite a few 50/50 games comming up.
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Rd 14 Sydney MCG
Rd 15 Freo Dock
Rd 16 Kangas MCG
Rd 17 Pies MCG
Rd 18 Adelaide MCG
Rd 19 Melb MCG
Rd 20 Carlton MCG
Rd 21 Saints Dock
Rd 22 Port MCG
On paper there are quite a few 50/50 games comming up.
Which ones mat? The only games I think we may have a chance out at the moment are the North Melbourne, Adelaide, Melbourne and Port Adelaide. Of those I think North is more likely a 75% chance to win, Adelaide (improving) 65%, Melbourne (getting worse) 55% and Port Adelaide 50%.
Circumstances change quickly and we could beat anyone on the day but we seem to have a fairly tough run home IMHO.
Stripes
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I dont know Stripes.....maybe Im still caught up in the Euphoria of winning 3 out of 4.
Maybe we need another butt whipping at the hands of Sydney to jolt optimists like myself back into reality.
However I would suggest based on current form we would give Freo,North,Adelaide,Melb,Carlton and Port a decent run for their money.
But this is a "Dog eat Dog" competition and as you said circumstances can change quickly.
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Rd 14 Sydney MCG
Rd 15 Freo Dock
Rd 16 Kangas MCG
Rd 17 Pies MCG
Rd 18 Adelaide MCG
Rd 19 Melb MCG
Rd 20 Carlton MCG
Rd 21 Saints Dock
Rd 22 Port MCG
On paper there are quite a few 50/50 games comming up.
Which ones mat? The only games I think we may have a chance out at the moment are the North Melbourne, Adelaide, Melbourne and Port Adelaide. Of those I think North is more likely a 75% chance to win, Adelaide (improving) 65%, Melbourne (getting worse) 55% and Port Adelaide 50%.
Circumstances change quickly and we could beat anyone on the day but we seem to have a fairly tough run home IMHO.
Stripes
I would say the only game we have little chance of winning is St Kilda. All the rest of them are capable of having on off day that would easily bring them down to a beatable level for us. Fremantle is a good example - in the middle of the steep learning curve that was our early season, we led them to half time. I would be willing to bet that this weeks side would not have been so easy to catch and run down as the one in round 4 was, and Fremantle are not playing as well now as they were then. I don't expect us to win any more than maybe 3 more games but it is certainly not impossible for us to beat any one of those sides.
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If we could claim the scalps of any one of the following three in either Carlton, Collingwood or Sydney, my three most HATED sides, I would be a very,very happy man.
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If we could claim the scalps of any one of the following three in either Carlton, Collingwood or Sydney, my three most HATED sides, I would be a very,very happy man.
forget about the other games really. A win against Adelaide, Port in melbourne big deal.
A win against quality sides like these 3 is much important than the rest.
those bottom sides really proves nothing other than we are capable of beating other lowly clubs, which we have been able to do other years apart from last.
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The Herald-Sun reckons we'll finish with 7 wins...
Who'll win the AFL wooden spoon?
THERE'S one AFL "trophy" that no club wants to win ... the wooden spoon. But someone has to .. and with eight rounds of the 2010 home-and-away season to go, there are still seven teams with a chance. Who do you think it will it be?
The wooden-spoon contenders:
RICHMOND
15th, 4-10, 16pts, 73.1%
To come
R15 Fremantle (ES)
R16 Nth Melb (MCG)
R17 Collingwood (MCG)
R18 Adelaide (MCG)
R19 Melbourne (MCG)
R20 Carlton (MCG)
R21 St Kilda (ES)
R22 Port Adel (ES)
WE SAY:
Wooden spoon "certaintees'' after Round 9, four wins in five matches has Richmond oh-so-close to getting out of jail. Form is good enough to roll North and Melbourne, and the Tigers would fancy themselves against Port in the last round if it came down to that.
For other clubs click on link:
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/who-will-finish-last/story-e6frf9if-1225888774239
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The run home
By Matthew Price
Sun 11 July, 2010
Here's the ladder predictor:
http://www.afl.com.au/ladder%20predictor/tabid/13046/default.aspx
15. Richmond
20 points (five wins, 10 losses), 75.72 per cent
The run home:
Rd 16: North Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 17: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 18: Adelaide at the MCG
Rd 19: Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 20: Carlton at the MCG
Rd 21: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Port Adelaide at Etihad Stadium
Five wins in six games have many Tiger fans feeling that the club may have turned the corner. A friendly run home sees the club stay in Melbourne for its final seven games. Collingwood and St Kilda are the most daunting of the remaining opponents, and a surge up the ladder is a real possibility.
http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/97964/default.aspx
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The Herald-Sun reckons we'll finish with 7 wins...
I think we will finish with 10 wins which coincidently could get us into the finals....or in 9th position ::)
I think every game other than against the Woods or the Saints are certainly winable with the team playing with the spirit they current are. :thumbsup
RICHMOND
15th, 4-10, 16pts, 73.1%
To come
R16 Nth Melb (MCG) :-\
R17 Collingwood (MCG)
R18 Adelaide (MCG) :-\
R19 Melbourne (MCG)
R20 Carlton (MCG) :pray
R21 St Kilda (ES)
R22 Port Adel (ES)
Stripes
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I did the ladder predictor....Richmond finished 9th. :o :gobdrop :help :chuck
The footy gods owe us for all those years we missed out with 12 wins.
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We won't get into the finals with 10 wins and our %, unless we are battling North for 8th, and that looks less likely after yesterday.
I think we'll beat North, Adelaide and Melbourne at least. A team like Port might drastically improve with a new coach and senior players coming back. Our situation this year is that we might have a look at a few of the boys at Coburg from a list management side of things, but these guys (Polo, Morton etc) are hardly matchwinners.
Would also think that we would send any boys with niggles under the knife early.