well, we improved by 15 goals on the last time we played carlton I expect us to do the same against coliingwood, enough said
So we will win by 19 points BJ. We lost by 71 in Round 4 last year.
For the record we improved by 10 goals on the filth we lost by 103 last year.
According to your theory BJ and our improvement on last year, your estimates show that we will still lose next Saturday but by 12 points.