From premiership contenders to not playing finals

[one-eyed]

Stats Insider uses Champion Data analysis and numbers to predict the run home for every AFL side
Max Laughton
FOX SPORTS
August 10, 2015 5:50PM


Richmond (7th, 11-7, 108.9%)

Finals: 79%

Top 4: 9%

Difficulty of remaining draw: 16th (average percentage of opponent — 97.13%)

ROUND 20: Gold Coast Suns at MCG, Sunday early

ROUND 21: Collingwood at MCG, Sunday early

ROUND 22: Essendon at MCG, Saturday night

ROUND 23: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium, Friday night

BRETT Deledio can’t mean that much, can he? The Tigers looked terrible on Friday night against Adelaide and undid all of their good work in beating Hawthorn, in terms of the top four race. They’re in fact now seemingly a chance to drop out of the top eight! But calm down, Tiger fans. Richmond still has a four in five shot of playing in September based on our numbers, and if they win the games they really should, they will be fine. In fact from our projections, Round 23 will just be a warm-up for an Elimination final replay, unless a nine point percentage gap between them and the Bulldogs can be recovered.

FOX FOOTY’S PROJECTION — four wins, finishing 15-7 (sixth on percentage)

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FOX FOOTY'S FINAL LADDER PROJECTION

1. Fremantle     19-3     76
2. West Coast  17-4-1  70
3. Hawthorn     17-5     68
4. Sydney        16-6     64
5. W.Bulldogs  15-7     60
6. Richmond    15-7     60
7. GWS           13-9     52
8. Adelaide       12-9-1  50
--------------------------
9. Geelong       12-9-1  50
10. North Melb  12-10   48
11. Coll'wood    11-11   44
12. Port Adel.   10-12   40
13. Melbourne    7-15   28
14. St Kilda        6-16   24
15. Essendon     5-17   20
16. Gold Coast  4-17-1 18
17. Carlton        4-18   16
18. Brisbane      2-20    8

FINALS - FIRST WEEK PROJECTION

QF1: Fremantle vs Sydney       @ Domain Stadium
QF2: West Coast vs Hawthorn @ Domain Stadium
EF1: W.Bulldogs vs Adelaide    @ Etihad Stadium
EF2: Richmond vs GWS Giants @ the M.C.G.

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/stats-insider-uses-champion-data-analysis-and-numbers-to-predict-the-run-home-for-every-afl-side/story-fnp04d70-1227477729140

[Yeahright]

EF2: Richmond vs GWS Giants @ the M.C.G.

Surely we're due for some luck

[Eat_em_Alive]

Sorry but the ladder is laughable    anyhow we shall see 

[eliminator]

Lets just concentrate on winning against the Suns. If we are to have any chance of reaching the finals we must thrash the suns.

[🏅Dooks]

If the Suns beat us its goodnight

[Knighter]

Footy Gods are watching, its one week at a time. 

Personally I think it will come down to Rd23 verus the Kangas.  If we win that game we'll be in if we lose we'll finish 9th!!!

[one-eyed]

The Herald-Sun has us finishing 7th.

AFL 2015: we look at the teams fighting for top two, top four and top eight finishes

Herald-Sun
August 11, 2015

THE battle is heating up as the final home and away round approaches and finals are on the horizon, with places in the top two, top four and top eight all up for grabs.

We take a look at who does your team plays in the final four rounds of the AFL season and predict where your team might finish.

Will Hawthorn secure that all-important double chance? Will Geelong sneak into the finals? Or can GWS go on a winning spree and qualify for their first ever finals series?

Plus, will it be Carlton or Brisbane for the dreaded wooden spoon?


RICHMOND

Ladder position: 7 (44, 108.9%)

Rd20 Gold Coast (MCG) W

Rd21 Collingwood (MCG) W

Rd22 Essendon (MCG) W

Rd23 North Melbourne (ES) L

WE SAY: From contender to pretender? A favourable draw may tell us little until September which they surely make, but loss against Crows ended top-four hopes.

SUPERCOACH: Since Round 16, Deledio ranks as an elite midfielder, averaging 124 SuperCoach points per game. He has averaged almost three goals per game — ranked No. 1 of any midfielder — and has recorded a kick rating of +12.4% — ranked third of any midfielder to average at least 20 disposals per game.

PREDICTED FINISH: 7 (56pts)



PREDICTED FINAL LADDER

1. Fremantle     19-3     76
2. Hawthorn     17-5     68
3. West Coast  16-5-1  66
4. Sydney        16-6     64
5. W.Bulldogs  15-7     60
6. North Melb   14-8     56
7. Richmond    14-8     56
8. Geelong      13-8-1  54
-----------------------------
9. GWS           13-9     52
10. Adelaide     12-9-1  50
11. Coll'wood    10-12   40
12. Port Adel.   10-12   40
13. Melbourne    7-15   28
14. St Kilda        6-16   24
15. Essendon     5-17   20
16. Gold Coast  4-17-1 18
17. Carlton        4-18   16
18. Brisbane      2-20    8



POTENTIAL FINALS WEEK ONE

Fremantle v Sydney (Perth)

Hawthorn v West Coast (MCG)

Western Bulldogs v Geelong (Etihad)

North Melbourne v Richmond (MCG)

http://www.news.com.au/national/afl-2015-we-look-at-the-teams-fighting-for-top-two-top-four-and-top-eight-finishes/story-e6frfkp9-1227477871309