How many games will we win next year?

[one-eyed]

Now that we've seen the draw, how many games will we win in 2007?

[LondonTiger]

I have attempted to rank the games we have in terms of easiest to hardest (is there such a thing as an easy game?)

Rd 1 Carlton MCG
Rd 9 Essendon MCG
Rd 21 Essendon MCG
Rd 16 Port_Adelaide MCG
Rd 10 Brisbane Lions Telstra_Dome
Rd 15 Hawthorn MCG
Rd 14 Kangaroos Telstra_Dome
Rd 6 Geelong Telstra_Dome
Rd 19 Collingwood MCG
Rd 3 Collingwood MCG
(We should look at cementing these 10.  Best Case Scenario 10 wins.  Worst case 6 wins 4 losses)

Rd 7 Port_Adelaide AAMI_Stadium
Rd 4 Western_Bulldogs MCG
Rd 22 St_Kilda MCG
Rd 2 Sydney MCG
Rd 18 Geelong Skilled_Stadium
Rd 12 Melbourne MCG
Rd 17 Sydney SCG
Rd 13 St_Kilda Telstra_Dome

(Our crunch games.  8 games against some decent opposition potentially out of our comfort zone.  Best case 5 wins 3 losses.  Worst 2 wins, 6 losses.   These proved to be 5 of our worst losses in 2006, but 3 of our best performances)

Rd 8 Adelaide AAMI_Stadium
Rd 11 Fremantle Subiaco
Rd 5 West Coast MCG
Rd 20 West Coast Subiaco

(The really difficult 4.  It all depends on our run of injuries and form of course, but best case scenario? 1 win 3 losses, worst case 4 losses)

I guess that puts us in best case 16 wins and worse case 8 wins.  Thats why I think we will finish on about 12 wins.

[letsgetiton!]

2007 Fixture

1 Sunday, Apr 01 (Sun Twilight) Carlton MCG Away 5:10 pm SHOULD WIN
2 Saturday, Apr 07 (Day) Sydney MCG Home 2:10 pm SYDNEY ARE TRAD SLOW STARTERS 50/50
3 Friday, Apr 13 (Thu/Fri Night) Collingwood MCG Away 7:40 pm SHOULD WIN
4 Friday, Apr 20 (Thu/Fri Night) Western Bulldogs MCG Home 7:40 pm 50/50
5 Saturday, Apr 28 (Day) West Coast MCG Home 2:10 pm LOSS
6 Sunday, May 06 (Sun Twilight) Geelong Telstra Dome Home 5:10 pm SHOULD WIN
7 Saturday, May 12 (Day) Port Adelaide AAMI Stadium Away 2:40 pm  50/50
8 Friday, May 18 (Thu/Fri Night) Adelaide AAMI Stadium Away 7:10 pm LOSS
9 Saturday, May 26 (Night) Essendon MCG Home 7:10 pm SHOULD WIN
10 Saturday, Jun 02 (Night) Brisbane Lions Telstra Dome Home 7:10 pm SHOULD WIN
11 Sunday, Jun 10 (Day) Fremantle Subiaco Away 2:40 pm LOSS
12 Friday, Jun 22 (Thu/Fri Night) Melbourne MCG Home 7:40 pm LOSS
13 Saturday, Jun 30 (Night) St. Kilda Telstra Dome Away 7:10 pm LOSS
14 Sunday, Jul 08 (Sun Twilight) Kangaroos Telstra Dome Home 5:10 pm SHOULD WIN
15 Sunday, Jul 15 (Day) Hawthorn MCG Away 2:10 pm SHOULD WIN
16 Sunday, Jul 22 (Day) Port Adelaide MCG Home 2:10 pm SHOULD WIN
17 Saturday, Jul 28 (Night) Sydney SCG Away 7:10 pm LOSS
18 Saturday, Aug 04 (Day) Geelong Skilled Stadium Away 2:10 pm  50/50
19 Friday, Aug 10 (Thu/Fri Night) Collingwood MCG Home 7:40 pm SHOULD WIN
20 Saturday, Aug 18 (Night) West Coast Subiaco Away 5:40 pm LOSS
21 Sunday, Aug 26 (Sun Twilight) Essendon MCG Away 5:10 pm SHOULD WIN
22 Saturday, Sep 01 (Day) St. Kilda MCG Home 2:10 pm 50/50


MY PREDICTIONS FOR 2007
BEST CASE SCENARIO :  15 WINS 7 LOSSES
WORST CASE SCENARIO : 10 WINS 12 LOSSES
MOST LIKELY SCENARIO : 13 WINS 9 LOSSES AND FINISH 9TH

[letsgetiton!]

next season terry must be really switched on and really drum into th eplayers that no winable game should be a loss ala hawks and freo this season.
next more than ever we have to win our 10 or so winable games and win our 3-5 shock wins ala cats in geelong, port at home and adel and dome this season.
its gonna be tuff but if bob can build it, we can do it! even though the afl is trying to "fix" it!

[mightytiges]

If we finish with 13 wins will make the Eight. Every year you normally find two sides fall out of the Eight from the previous year and one of the top 4 dip. Crows, Pies, Dees and Saints look suss.

1 Carlton MCG Away W
2 Sydney MCG Home 50/50 - will test if our midfield has improved. We need to learn to win our home games against interstate sides too
3 Collingwood MCG Away W - they're still crap 
4 Bulldogs MCG Home 50/50 - same as the swans game.
5 West Coast MCG Home 40/60 - we didn't care in round 22 so I'm not writing this one off as we're at home. Going to be tough but a new year and another preseason under the belts and who knows.
6 Geelong  Dome Home 50/50 - a joke we play our home game at their home ground 
7 Port Adelaide AAMI Away 50/50 - Port will be better next year especially at AMII
8 Adelaide AAMI Away L - six day break b/w travelling twice
9 Essendon MCG Home W
10 Brisbane Dome Home W
11 Fremantle Subiaco Away L
12 Melbourne MCG Home 50/50 - still don't rate the Dees but midyear they are usually peaking
13 St. Kilda Dome Away L - our bogey side
14 Kangaroos Dome Home 50/50 - once again playing our home game at their home ground 
15 Hawthorn MCG Away 50/50 - usually we give them a start then it depends if we can reel them in
16 Port Adelaide MCG Home W
17 Sydney SCG Away L - a hiding again if we don't play KISS down th guts footy at the SCG
18 Geelong Skilled Away 50/50 - Plough coaches well at Pussyland
19 Collingwood MCG Home W
20 West Coast Subiaco Away L
21 Essendon MCG Away W - danger game though as it'll probably be Hird's final game
22 St. Kilda MCG Home L

Worst Case: 8 wins
Best Case: 14 wins

So I'll go with 11 wins  .

[WilliamPowell]

2007 Fixture

1 Sunday, Apr 01 (Sun Twilight) Carlton MCG Away 5:10 pm Danger game but WIN
2 Saturday, Apr 07 (Day) Sydney MCG Home 2:10 pm Agree with X on this one - good show especially if BBBH is still sooking
3 Friday, Apr 13 (Thu/Fri Night) Collingwood MCG Away 7:40 pm Better WIN
4 Friday, Apr 20 (Thu/Fri Night) Western Bulldogs MCG Home 7:40 pm Unless we exploit our strengths against them - Loss
5 Saturday, Apr 28 (Day) West Coast MCG Home 2:10 pm Loss
6 Sunday, May 06 (Sun Twilight) Geelong Telstra Dome Home 5:10 pm Better WIN
7 Saturday, May 12 (Day) Port Adelaide AAMI Stadium Away 2:40 pm  Should Win
8 Friday, May 18 (Thu/Fri Night) Adelaide AAMI Stadium Away 7:10 pm LOSS
9 Saturday, May 26 (Night) Essendon MCG Home 7:10 pm Must WIN
10 Saturday, Jun 02 (Night) Brisbane Lions Telstra Dome Home 7:10 pm WIN
11 Sunday, Jun 10 (Day) Fremantle Subiaco Away 2:40 pm Win
12 Friday, Jun 22 (Thu/Fri Night) Melbourne MCG Home 7:40 pm 50/50
13 Saturday, Jun 30 (Night) St. Kilda Telstra Dome Away 7:10 pm Win, Win 
14 Sunday, Jul 08 (Sun Twilight) Kangaroos Telstra Dome Home 5:10 pm Win toruble if we don't 
15 Sunday, Jul 15 (Day) Hawthorn MCG Away 2:10 pm Win if we are switched on - loss if we don't show 'em some respect
16 Sunday, Jul 22 (Day) Port Adelaide MCG Home 2:10 pm Win
17 Saturday, Jul 28 (Night) Sydney SCG Away 7:10 pm LOSS
18 Saturday, Aug 04 (Day) Geelong Skilled Stadium Away 2:10 pm  Win we love playing down there
19 Friday, Aug 10 (Thu/Fri Night) Collingwood MCG Home 7:40 pm Must win
20 Saturday, Aug 18 (Night) West Coast Subiaco Away 5:40 pm LOSS
21 Sunday, Aug 26 (Sun Twilight) Essendon MCG Away 5:10 pm Win
22 Saturday, Sep 01 (Day) St. Kilda MCG Home 2:10 pm Depends on if we are still a chance - likely loss


So what I have got .......

14 wins

[F0551L]

1 Sunday, Apr 01 (Sun Twilight) Carlton MCG Away 5:10 pm  win
2 Saturday, Apr 07 (Day) Sydney MCG Home 2:10 pm  loss
3 Friday, Apr 13 (Thu/Fri Night) Collingwood MCG Away 7:40 pm win  50/50
4 Friday, Apr 20 (Thu/Fri Night) Western Bulldogs MCG Home 7:40 pm win 50/50
5 Saturday, Apr 28 (Day) West Coast MCG Home 2:10 pm  loss
6 Sunday, May 06 (Sun Twilight) Geelong Telstra Dome Home 5:10 pm win 50/50
7 Saturday, May 12 (Day) Port Adelaide AAMI Stadium Away 2:40 pm  loss 50/50
8 Friday, May 18 (Thu/Fri Night) Adelaide AAMI Stadium Away 7:10 pm loss
9 Saturday, May 26 (Night) Essendon MCG Home 7:10 pm  win
10 Saturday, Jun 02 (Night) Brisbane Lions Telstra Dome Home 7:10 pm win
11 Sunday, Jun 10 (Day) Fremantle Subiaco Away 2:40 pm loss 50/50
12 Friday, Jun 22 (Thu/Fri Night) Melbourne MCG Home 7:40 pm loss 50/50
13 Saturday, Jun 30 (Night) St. Kilda Telstra Dome Away 7:10 pm win 50/50
14 Sunday, Jul 08 (Sun Twilight) Kangaroos Telstra Dome Home 5:10 pm win
15 Sunday, Jul 15 (Day) Hawthorn MCG Away 2:10 pm win
16 Sunday, Jul 22 (Day) Port Adelaide MCG Home 2:10 pm win
17 Saturday, Jul 28 (Night) Sydney SCG Away 7:10 pm  loss
18 Saturday, Aug 04 (Day) Geelong Skilled Stadium Away 2:10 pm  loss 50/50
19 Friday, Aug 10 (Thu/Fri Night) Collingwood MCG Home 7:40 pm win 50/50
20 Saturday, Aug 18 (Night) West Coast Subiaco Away 5:40 pm loss
21 Sunday, Aug 26 (Sun Twilight) Essendon MCG Away 5:10 pm win
22 Saturday, Sep 01 (Day) St. Kilda MCG Home 2:10 pm win 50/50

13 wins 9 losses  there are some 50/50 games  these are the one we need to nail and make the statement that the Tiges are on the up  lose them and then nothing has changed

[bluey_21]

At least 12 games