Melbourne smashed Freo....
So we are odds on favorite for pick 4.
Melbourne have locked in first 2 picks unless miracles occur and they win against Carlton and St.kilda.
The only chance we have is for a lower pick is if Freo beat Essendon in round 21. They will not beat Geelong in Round 22. While we lose the next 2 games.
As it stands now:
1. Melbourne (PP)
2. Melbourne
3. Fremantle
4. Richmond
5. N.Melbourne
6. West Coast
For Scenario sake Melbourne lock in picks 1 and 2. They wont win another game they've got this far and wont beat Carlton or St.Kilda simple as that. North Melbourne have Saints and Port away. Can't see them winning that. West Coast have Adelaide away then us, can't see them beating Adelaide. So here goes:
Scenarios:
Best Case:
We lose next 2 games. Fremantle Beat Essendon and leap frog us. We get pick 3.
1. Melbourne
2. Melbourne
3. Richmond
4. Fremantle
Most likely
I think Fremantle probably will beat Essendon, but I think we will beat West Coast. North wont win a game pich 4th Pick and we will end up with Pick 5.
1. Melbourne
2. Melbourne
3. North Melbourne
4. Fremantle
5. Richmond
Worst Case:
If we somehow beat Hawks and then beat West Coast on the back of a Cousins mauling. We leap frog all cellar dwellers and get pick 6.
1. Melbourne
2. Melbourne
3. Fremantle
4. North Melbourne
5. West Coast
6. Richmond
So once again it comes to Round 22 and as a club we will find ourselves in a very likely posistion of more than likley if we win we can lose a possible 2 picks in the draft order.
Ive never ever been a pro tanker, but when it comes down to 1 game its a different story. Its not the clubs fault. The AFL need to do something about it. If there was a lottery you'd go out and play the natural game, a lose for an extra 10 balls in the lottery doesn't warrant to "experiment" stupidly.
The win against West Coast could be the difference between a Trengrove/Butcher and a Gysberts/Lucas selection.
