NFI champ. Latham and Shooters have said they will avoid fielding candidates in seats where either one has a strong chance as they don't want to pinch votes off each other and allow the Nats to get in.
The Nats are under threat from virtually everyone else. Mostly independents especially near the Vic border and from the ALP and Greens in say Lismore. Labor like they did in Victoria will be preferencing the Shooters. You then got the group AnyoneButNats but they won't support ON either given they want action on climate change.
A ON spokesperson last month said no deals had been done with the Shooters (that rumour was back in October). If they were to run in the same seats and preference each other then they wouldn't pinch votes off each other. The party with the higher number of votes gets the other's 2nd preferences. Out of the two, the Shooters are more likely to win NSW lower house seats.
Latham wants an upper house seat for himself as he'd have zero chance of winning a lower house one. He'll be competing directly against the Shooters, David Leyonhjelm, Christian Democrats, etc as the state is one whole upper house electorate. Even with only such a low quota of 4.55 required to gain a seat (the reason why Leyonhjelm is switching to state politics), ON could potentially win two seats at best.
You say 8% and laugh as if that's nothing. For Latham to take them there from 3.9 is breathtaking, and it will be higher than that in the next two months..
God you have no idea what you're talking about....
Latham and Shooters have both said they will not field candidates against each other in some seats, you're plain wrong on this. And given I'm talking about Latham, you should know I'm talking about the NSW election, not the federal one. What happens in the Federal election could be different, but I doubt it.
Ridiculous to say they wouldn't pinch votes off each other, what planet you on bro
Latham would have a seat wrapped up for him in the Senate if he wanted to go that way but it's easier for him to work in NSW & be able to focus some time on his family as well.
Latham also ain't competing against the Liberal Democrats
One is a right-wing party & the other is run by Libertarians for gods sake....
He's doubled One Nation's popularity in less than 2 months. Imagine what he'll be able to do in 2 years....
He'll win 'em 2 seats at least after preferences, possibly even 3. Not bad for a party that hasn't done anything in NSW or gone close to getting anyone elected....
lefties. What a bunch of lunatics