Pretty much all the other results this weekend went in our favour. Even Hawthorn losing tonight has enabled Sydney to sow up a top 2 spot so the Swans won't have much to play for against us. Mind you Ted Richards today on the Sunday footy show said Longmire is thinking that way.
The problem still is we need one more other result in the next two weeks to go our way. Either:
R22 - North def. Adel down in Hobart.
OR
R23 - Carl def. Ess at the 'G and our % jumps ahead of the Bombers (we're 1.3% behind them currently = roughly 30 pts)
If both of these don't go our way then we've got zero chance of making it.
So I still have (assuming we win both our games):
Rich: St K, Syd
Ess: GC, Carl
Adel: North, St K
WCE: Melb, GC
Coll: GWS, Haw
GC: Ess, WCE
which gives:
7. Ess 13 wins
8. Rich 12 wins
-----------------------
9. WCE 11 wins
10. Adel 11 wins
11. Coll 11 wins
12. GC 10 wins
So all up, the odds are still against us even if we were to win all of our games. No guarantee North will beat Adelaide. Both sides are inconsistent and it'll depend on which version of each side turns up.
We won't get in with 11 wins so we'll need to be the Swans. Our % is too far behind the Crows (who also play St Kilda) and Eagles (who have Melbourne and the Ablett-less Suns) to rely on them dropping games they are heavily favoured to win.
