With West Coast going to town on GWS, I thought I would look at what we need to do if we want a top 4 spot
Port - 40 points - Sydney, North, Essendon, Collingwood
Brisbane - 40 - Collingwood, Gold Coast, Sydney, Carlton
Geelong - 36 - Dogs, Essendon, Richmond, Sydney
West Coast - 36 - Richmond, Essendon, Dogs, StK, North
Port will win 3. So we can’t catch them. Brisbane should win 3 as well.
I think we genuinely need to win every game to make the top 4.
Richmond - 34 - West Coast, Freo, Geelong, Adelaide
We should be beating Freo and Adelaide. Unless we can win against both Geelong and West Coast we will need plenty of luck.
Our best chances as I can see it are -
Doggies to beat Geelong
West Coast is going to be extremely hard to pass with the game in hand. If we manage to knock them off , then we will still need them to lose another game.
Again the dogs are our chance, or possibly StK?
What are everyone’s thoughts?
One thing I know is percentage won’t impact the quest for a top 4 spot (barring a team above us drawing a game on the run home)