Predicted AFL ladderMax Laughton
Fox Sports
March 3rd, 2025 Whereas
Richmond should be an especially bad team. In fact, we are more confident putting them 18th than we are putting any team in any position on this predicted ladder.
We’re not saying they’re going winless, because kinda like West Coast at their absolute lowest ebb, there’s enough established talent still here (when healthy) to compete at least a few times this season. Remember, they had a shocking run with injury in 2024 which made them look even worse than they truly were.
And teams just don’t go winless in modern footy - they win a random one against a good team that had a shocking day, or pinch some close ones. It’s really, really hard to be THAT bad.
But they have lost over 1000 games of experience for two consecutive off-seasons. Nobody is calling this tanking, because it’s not like they’re trying to lose games during the season itself -they are simply pushing as hard as they can on the accelerator.
Taking six first-round picks, plus the first pick of the second round, is a genuinely mind-boggling haul, especially if the 2024 draft is as good as all the recruiters think it was. And remember, they traded their seventh first-round pick to North for the Roos’ future first! It would be a surprise if Richmond didn’t have two top-five picks in the 2025 draft.
The only points of comparison we have are expansion teams, and expansion teams are always awful. The Tigers are basically an expansion side that somehow convinced more veterans than usual to play for them.
It would be remarkable if they avoided a bottom two finish. And really, it’d be weird if they didn’t win the wooden spoon. They are clearly a weaker list going into 2025 than they were going into 2024, and they won two games last year.
A much gentler run with injuries could mean they actually win a couple more games, of course, but that’s just the randomness of footy. On paper, they are clearly 18th of 18, and the only person who should be slightly concerned about that is Adem Yze - because it’s very hard to be the rebuild coach.
He will get support and patience from a club that’s much stronger than it was the last time it needed to build back up... it’s just that losing is tough, even when you’re not just expecting it, but accepting it.
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