Author Topic: Federal Election  (Read 34883 times)

Offline mightytiges

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 57995
  • Eat 'Em Alive!
    • oneeyed-richmond.com
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2007, 07:01:00 PM »
Who says kissing babies is fun  ;D
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Moi

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2007, 07:13:34 PM »
Wonder what the best poll is - they go up and down as the wind blows.
But interesting on

* Betfair, Labor is $1.35 and Coalition $3.50.
* Centrebet Labor $1.36 and Coalition $3.15

I reckon this is a better gauge of public opinion - ppl voting with their hard earned.
Although I guess the polls could have swayed ppl to bet this way thinking they were a shoe in.

In the words of Vinnie Barbarino, "I'm so confused" lol

I think it's closer than the polls suggest and as a diehard Labor person don't feel confident at all  :help

Offline mightytiges

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 57995
  • Eat 'Em Alive!
    • oneeyed-richmond.com
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2007, 08:36:06 PM »
The odds and polls seem far too in favour of Labor for what they need to do to win government. The ALP needs to win a record 16 seats so it's just not as simple as Labor getting the majority of the vote. If the swing is just in seats the opposition already hold then nothing changes. IIRC Peacock (1990) and Beazley (1998) both got the majority of the vote but still lost. Like you Moi I still think the election could go either way  :-\.
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Ramps

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2007, 09:51:37 PM »
Alot of people have made alot of money in this country over the past 10 years, there not going to vote Labor, Howards has heaps of seats up his sleeve. I expect he'll win. The one thing that concerns me is the Telstra Vote, Telstra shareholders feel screwed by the Libs, theres 1.6 million of them- that could change everything.

Offline mightytiges

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 57995
  • Eat 'Em Alive!
    • oneeyed-richmond.com
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #19 on: November 10, 2007, 07:12:15 PM »
The majority of Australians wouldn't own a share portfolio though  ;). Things like the cost of living, cost of housing both to buy and rent, cost of childcare, etc... all going through the roof would way heavily on the minds of the mortgage belt which often make up marginal seats. Eventually the proverbial has got to hit the fan when even dumps are expensive to buy.
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Offline mightytiges

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 57995
  • Eat 'Em Alive!
    • oneeyed-richmond.com
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #20 on: November 22, 2007, 06:45:30 PM »
Surprise surprise the Herald-Sun is backing the Libs. Who would've thought that  :wallywink. I wonder who the Age is backing  :wallywink.

ps. Thank gawd for the black ban on political advertising  :sleep 2 days out from the polls. I can start watching tv again without  :chuck.

pps. LOL at noone turning up to the booths until the afternoon because of the draft  :yep.
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Offline one-eyed

  • Administrator
  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 95465
    • One-Eyed Richmond
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #21 on: November 24, 2007, 04:30:31 AM »
Here's the election pendulum
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/files/2007-election-pendulum.pdf

Libs/Nats win if they lose no more than 13 seats.

Labor wins if they win 16 or more seats.


Moi

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #22 on: November 24, 2007, 07:13:06 PM »
Watching seat of Eden-Monaro, which has always gone with whoever wins government.
Labor in front at this stage!


Offline mightytiges

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 57995
  • Eat 'Em Alive!
    • oneeyed-richmond.com
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #23 on: November 24, 2007, 07:34:11 PM »
Poor Johnny looks like losing his seat. A 6% swing against.

Ch 9 claiming 10 seats have changed hands so far. Libs getting smashed in NSW  :o.
All you touch and all you see is all your life will ever be - Pink Floyd

Moi

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #24 on: November 24, 2007, 07:36:55 PM »
Poor Johnny looks like losing his seat. A 6% swing against.
Won't be sorry to see the end of the racist pig  :thumbsup

Hellenic Tiger

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #25 on: November 24, 2007, 08:06:58 PM »
Poor Johnny looks like losing his seat. A 6% swing against.
Won't be sorry to see the end of the racist pig  :thumbsup
Well you won't have to wait too long now Moi, he will lose his seat and his last day in federal politics is almost over. Qld looks like there is a big swing  to Labour. Libs are gawn.

Moi

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #26 on: November 24, 2007, 08:14:11 PM »
Poor Johnny looks like losing his seat. A 6% swing against.
Won't be sorry to see the end of the racist pig  :thumbsup
Well you won't have to wait too long now Moi, he will lose his seat and his last day in federal politics is almost over. Qld looks like there is a big swing  to Labour. Libs are gawn.
Having said that though, I think he is the smartest politician I've ever seen.  He knew how to get to the heart of the populace.  Unfortunately, he used a lot of racist tactics in order to do it.

And economic management, you can't criticise. 

Online Francois Jackson

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 13532
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #27 on: November 24, 2007, 08:15:04 PM »
Alot of people have made alot of money in this country over the past 10 years, there not going to vote Labor, Howards has heaps of seats up his sleeve. I expect he'll win. The one thing that concerns me is the Telstra Vote, Telstra shareholders feel screwed by the Libs, theres 1.6 million of them- that could change everything.

 howard can kiss my arse. i have a lot of friends who tell me my house has doubled in 3 years bla bla bla.

well so has mine and every other bloke who owns out there but seriously guy richards could be running this country and that would've happened.

one word. CHINA.

no china no money. people dont understand that.

goodbye howard
Currently a member of the Roupies, and employed by the great man Roup.

Hellenic Tiger

  • Guest
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #28 on: November 24, 2007, 08:15:50 PM »
Will mean nothing in an hour or so when he will have to concede defeat.

Online Francois Jackson

  • RFC Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 13532
Re: Federal Election - Nov 24
« Reply #29 on: November 24, 2007, 08:17:44 PM »
he is a smart prick no doubt about that. the area which labour is not.

for example interest rates. people go on about rates being high under labour buy labour never once mentioned in any ads that they actually hit a high of 22% under liberal.

Currently a member of the Roupies, and employed by the great man Roup.