Our Run Home: How many games will we win?

[Diocletian]

They're coming back on... Melbourne would've got the win because it was after half-time....

[rogerd3]

Take your pick of any game of any game we’ve thrown away this year.
Horrid performance and we get what we deserve.

[Diocletian]

It took a match we weren't actually playing in for the umpires to finally help us out...

[mightytiges]

Just a 59:29 long quarter lol.

Ending was similar to our game against the Eagles but Melbourne had a bigger lead to defend and so hung on. I bet if a Richmond defender did what Petty did to hold up Darling it would've been an instant 50.

Anyway, two spots in the Eight now open. We've just got to focus on winning anyway anyhow on Friday night otherwise it doesn't matter what the other teams around us do.

 

[one-eyed]

Updated: Two rounds to go:

7. West Coast  40    95.5  .............  Freo (A), Bris (A) 

8. GWS           38    96.4  .............  Rich (N), Carl (A)
------------------------------
9. Essendon    36   103.4  .............  GC (A?), Coll (H)  ............ Dons are +55 net pts ahead of us.

10. Richmond  36  100.1  ............. GWS (N), Haw (H) 

11. St Kilda     36    88.2  .............. Geel (A), Freo (H)

12. Fremantle  36    87.7  ............. WCE (H), StK (A)

[one-eyed]

Foxsports has us finishing 9th expecting us to lose to the Giants. They have GWS and Essendon making it.

--------------------------------------------

10. RICHMOND (9-11, 100.1%)

To play: GWS at Marvel Stadium, Hawthorn at the MCG

What’s their easiest path to the eight? Win both games while West Coast or Essendon loses once

Best case: Finish 7th if they win both games, West Coast loses once and they either pass Essendon on percentage or Essendon loses once

Worst case: Miss finals

Analysis: The Tigers almost control their own fate but not quite, because of the percentage gap between themselves and the Bombers. However if they win both of their games, they seem very likely to make the eight. If they lose to GWS it’s a hell of a lot tougher; they’d need to beat Hawthorn while both West Coast and Essendon go 0-2 (and Fremantle loses to St Kilda in R23 while St Kilda loses to Geelong in R22). So basically, they need to beat the Giants.

Our prediction: Finish 9th



PREDICTED FINAL LADDER

1. Western Bulldogs (17-5)
2. Geelong Cats (17-5)
3. Melbourne (16-5-1)
4. Port Adelaide (16-6)
5. Brisbane Lions (15-7)
6. Sydney Swans (15-7)
7. GWS Giants (11-10-1)
8. Essendon (11-11)
-------------------------
9. Richmond (10-12)
10. West Coast Eagles (10-12)
11. Fremantle (10-12)
12. St Kilda (10-12)
13. Carlton (8-14)
14. Gold Coast Suns (7-15)
15. Hawthorn (6-15-1)
16. Collingwood (6-16)
17. Adelaide Crows (6-16)
18. North Melbourne (5-16-1)

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-finals-2021-the-run-home-after-round-21-ladder-predictor-top-eight-what-each-team-needs-to-play-finals/news-story/f64090826a506c3d99da07650af20a87

[Tiger Khosh]

Massive logjam from 7th to 12th and none really deserve to make it. Essendon have probably been the best of the lot post bye.

Could easily make it and could easily drop out. Too tight to call.

[one-eyed]

SE Queensland opening up again to sporting crowds. So Essendon will now likely have to head up to Metricon to play the Suns.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2021-round-22-fixture-games-times-dates-venues-covid19-cases-border-restrictions/news-story/53758deb179f2639cf0ac885aaa446a0

[one-eyed]

Saints lost. We're still alive  .