Goodonya Claw,
If we cut 8 players can you guarantee that we will get 8 stars?
We have been cutting players for 30 years.
Surely its about time that we started to develop the majority of the guys of the right age that are on our list rather than discarding those that are ready to roar after all the training they have.
Geelong, Collingwobbles and Brisvegas did it.
a bit of simple maths for ya.
lets say the average time on a list is 10 yrs. read it somewhere and think this is very close to the truth. you have 45 players on your list that would mean you need to find at least 4 or 5 players every single yr just to break even. every single club must turn over players for so many obvious reasons.
if you can agree we have a large amount of players on our list who we need to upgrade on say 14, then if we turned over 8 took 8 and found 5 it goes without saying we are in front. it also says the following yr you only have 9 to turn over.
as you find players the more the overall number comes down until gradually you are in a position depth wise that you are only cutting 3 or 4 each yr list needs and structures determine what you do at this stage.
the overall hit miss ratio for all clubs a few yrs ago for recruits was running at about 60/40. based on that alone if we turn over 10 players who are no good and we have em, then we could realistically expect to find 6 decent players.
please tell me which of the players i mentioned are ready to roar and what major contribution have they made to our improvement. improvement has happened because most of em are not getting a game.glass half fulls actually prevent you from developing and improving if hardwick has done nothing else he has shown this to be true.
you will scoff at this but imo we are still looking for 15 odd players to show they can perform at this level on a consistent basis. the improvement to date has been on the back of 15 odd players after them it has been ordinary.
the 8 players most likely in the gun this yr are.
connors, white,webberley, macdonald.
mcguane, moore retired,
one or two of graham, brown, derickx.
move newman to the vets list and we can cut 8 non performers who have contributed nothing to our improvement quite easily. what development can we put into that lot apart from macdonals who i think is as good as gone already and big brown there is no upside to the others. they have all been around for ages and all are 23 plus.
it leaves poor players on the list who are at least giving just a little in. nahas dud imo, edwards sometimes terrible sometimes ordinary sometimes passable. jackson could be replaced with any very good state league player. king the most overrated player on the list who is ordinary most of the time. miller who we are wasting our time with, they all get to stay another yr but it is clear we should be looking to do much better than them.
if we cant improve on 4 or 5 of those players this trade/draft period we should not be in the comp.
