Carlton can rattle Richmond defenders by going into hunting mode David King
From: Herald Sun
March 27, 2013 1:50PMTHE 2013 season, they all tell us, is a marathon and not a sprint. That's true, unless you're Carlton or Richmond.
The Tigers haven't won the first two games of the season since 1997, but success tonight almost ensures a 3-0 start. Carlton, meanwhile, could set up a mouth-watering Round 2 meeting with Collingwood with "title fight'' hype.
The result is everything as it will set these two powerful clubs on differing journeys with vastly opposing external pressures. What needs to happen? Let's crystal ball ...
THE TIGERSCarlton's forward line has struggled to mark the ball inside the forward 50 all pre-season, averaging less than six per week, but they have continued to score via crumbing brilliance, lead by Eddie Betts. Thirty-four of their 52 NAB Cup goals have come from either snaps or on-the-run opportunities.
Richmond's fortunes rest on its ability to diffuse inside-50s without creating drop-of-ball opportunities for the Blues smalls. If their spoils fall within a 5-8m radius and at the front of the contest, Betts, Garlett and Robinson will swoop and they will score will regularity.
Betts requires a taller opponent, someone who can out-mark or release from him to blunt high-ball entries with authority. I'd back Alex Rance, who is one of the competition's best intercept players, but whoever Hardwick settles on needs to have a forward's mindset and attack the aerial ball.
One of Hardwick's secret weapons is the use of his midfield guns at full-forward. The returns are staggering.
When Trent Cotchin and Brett Deledio were targeted with a forward 50 entry in 2012 Richmond scored 60 per cent of the time - a massive number. Via Jack Riewoldt the Tigers went at 40 per cent, perhaps because the opposition defend the primary target more intently, but the uniqueness of Cotchin and Deledio will provide the Carlton hierarchy with match-up dilemmas. If the Blues fail to deny these two effectively - bingo for the Tiges.
The other opportunity is to ensure Chris Yarran defends from the deepest possible position - the defensive goalsquare. The benefits are two-fold as it stifles his run and carry influence, denying maximum damage and also, as witnessed in the NAB Cup Grand Final, he is vulnerable when made to defend one-on-one.
The final stages of the game - the two-minute drill - is a major query as we all expect the result to be in the balance late. If Richmond holds a lead, then icing the clock must become the responsibility of the senior players.
In 2012 they failed the test of temperament and composure, losing eight games by 22 points or less and recording a draw against Port Adelaide. Have they matured? Will the recruitment of Troy Chaplin help in this area? Leaders must lead through action not voice alone.
What Richmond must do:DO NOT "soft spoil" in the defensive 50m
USE star power at full-forward for lengthy periods
EXPOSE Yarran deep
LEADERS must lead late
THE BLUESCARLTON has many assets and ways to also obtain victory tonight.
The Blues can destroy the Tigers' defensive method if they play brave and instinctive football. Richmond will press very high up the field when the ball is in their forward 50, a method perfected by Hardwick when at Hawthorn and administered by Ross Smith over the past 18 months.
But it has been sporadic throughout the pre-season period, both in-game and at training. Carlton must play on, maintain speed on the counter-attack, run and take space with ball in-hand and promote overlap runners.
They can't allow the Richmond defence to reset and reorganise after each possession. Jeff Garlett and Andrew Walker charging goal-side of their opponents could create easy scores.
Mick Malthouse doesn't tag in the midfield, as a rule, and I wouldn't expect that would change as he sets the initial platform, but the use of Bryce Gibbs in there will be influential. If Deledio is in the middle I'd expect Gibbs to oppose him with the view to exposing Deledio in Carlton's forward half. It's not a tag per se, but an on him/off him mentality regarding which team has possession.
Gibbs must kick goals as a midfielder. He managed only eight last season, albeit not as a mid, but tonight presents an opportunity as the Tiger midfield tend to value attack over defense.
Carlton's prime asset is the harassment returns of Eddie Betts, Garlett and Mitch Robinson. If they bring their A-game defensively, their work will not only provide turnovers but genuine excitement and momentum igniting euphoria amongst the Carlton unit.
They can open old Tiger wounds as Richmond have looked like rabbits in the spotlight in recent seasons exiting their defensive end. Hunt Rance, hunt Chaplin, hunt Bachar Houli and hunt Ben Griffiths to reap rewards.
Above all else, Carlton must maintain the faith in the system that Mick is promoting. Believe and trust that the grind of consistency will provide success. Anything outside of those thoughts will not allow for instinctive football and will erode the team aspects of Mick's plan.
Jeff Garlett
What Carlton must do:
PLAY with speed on the counter-attack via play-on's and overlap runners
THE midfield must hit the scoreboard - Gibbs in particular
HUNT and harass. Put the sights on Rance, Chaplin, Houli, Griffiths
BELIEVE and trust the plan
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