Which clubs have the best run home and have the best chance to make finals?Herald-Sun
July 15, 2015WHO has the best chance of making finals?
We look at every club’s run home and their chances of playing in September with Champion Data’s in-depth analysis.
5. RICHMOND 36 112%Round 16 - St Kilda (ES)
Round 17 - Fremantle (MCG)
Round 18 - Hawthorn (MCG)
Round 19 - Adelaide (AO)
Round 20 - Gold Coast (MCG)
Round 21 - Collingwood (MCG)
Round 22 - Essendon (MCG)
Round 23 - North Melbourne (ES)
WE SAY: After this weekend the Tigers should need only three, or possibly two, more wins to lock in a third straight finals appearance. Fremantle and Hawthorn is a tough two weeks but then come a string of games against teams in a similar or worse position. Round 23 could be a mini-final for the Roos, Richmond might need the win to cement a home final in week one.
CHAMPION DATA SAYS: The Tigers inside work has been a main reason for the climb up the ladder since Round 10. They have averaged 10.6 more contested possessions per game than their opposition, winning the count by at least 12 in their last four matches.
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DRAW DIFFICULTY (Stats courtesy of Champion Data — ranked from hardest to easiest)West Coast 1
Sydney Swans 2
St Kilda 3
Carlton 4
Geelong 5
Gold Coast Suns 6
Richmond 7Port Adelaide 8
Essendon 9
Collingwood 10
Fremantle 11
Adelaide 12
Hawthorn 13
Western Bulldogs 14
Melbourne 15
Brisbane Lions 16
GWS Giants 17
North Melbourne 18
FINALS CHANCE (Stats courtesy of Champion Data)Fremantle 100%
West Coast 100%
Hawthorn 100%
Sydney Swans 99%
Richmond 84%Western Bulldogs 84%
Collingwood 78%
GWS Giants 65%
Adelaide 44%
North Melbourne 28%
Geelong 9%
Port Adelaide 8%
St Kilda 0%
Essendon 0%
Melbourne 0%
Carlton 0%
Gold Coast Suns 0%
Brisbane Lions 0%
Analysis of every club here: http://www.news.com.au/sport/afl/afl-2015-which-clubs-have-the-best-run-home-and-have-the-best-chance-to-make-finals/story-fnelctok-1227441612834
