2019: Richmond are already the Odds-On Favourites

[one-eyed]

Richmond Are Already The Odds-On Favourites To Take Out The 2019 AFL Flag

By Cam Tyeson
pedestrian.tv
1 Oct 2018

They might have cooked it beyond belief by not even qualifying for this year’s Grand Final, but Richmond are already in the box seat to take out the 2019 AFL Premiership, according to bookmakers.

West Coast are still celebrating their remarkable 2018 flag, but the books on next year’s Premiership are open and the odds of them going back-to-back aren’t exactly short.

Rather, it’s Richmond, who ran roughshod over the competition for much of the 2018 season, who are tipped to go all the way in 2019.

With gun key forward Tom Lynch likely on his way to the club in the trade and free agency period, both Sportsbet and TAB have the Tigers at $5.00 favourites to win the 2019 Premiership.

Interestingly enough, the markets for West Coast repeating their Premiership glory in 2019 differ greatly, with Sportsbet listing the Eagles at $7.00, but TAB having them rank outsiders at $11.00 in 2019.

The odds remain reasonably short on Melbourne getting their act together after a disappointing 2019 Preliminary Final loss, with the Demons at $7.00 across the board.

Collingwood, who came within 5 points of an unlikely Premiership win, are also at short odds for next year’s flag at $7.00 and $8.00 respectively.

Where it gets really interesting is in the slightly longer odds. Not one of Hawthorn, Geelong, Sydney, or Adelaide are paying less than $10.00 for the 2019 flag, and GWS just scrapes in with current odds of $9.00.

And for those of you who enjoy a long-odds flutter, there’s insane value to be had in punting on a bolter via the likes of Essendon (currently paying around $15.00) and Port Adelaide (around $18.00), and at $67.00 via Sportsbet, there’s definitely worse things you can do with your spare change than slapping down $10 on Brisbane to go all the way in 2019.

For those of you into symmetry and numbers and omens and the like: the 2017 and 2018 Grand Finals both featured teams who finished in 13th place the year before. The Western Bulldogs filled that spot on this year’s AFL ladder. Right now they’re paying anywhere from $34.00 up to $51.00 for the 2019 flag depending on your outlet.

Will it pay off? Probably not. But this is the AFL after all, where stranger things have absolutely happened.

As always, y’know, gamble responsibly and etc.

https://www.pedestrian.tv/sport/richmond-favourites-afl-flag-2019/

[one-eyed]

TABcomau Media
‏@tabcomaumedia

With Tom Lynch announcing Richmond as his club of choice, the Tigers have firmed as premiership favourite for the 2019 #AFL⁠⁠ season from $5 to $4.50.


https://twitter.com/tabcomaumedia/

[one-eyed]

AFL 2019 premiership odds change after trade period moves

Mick Stirling
Sporting News
19 Oct 2018

They may have bombed out in the preliminary final to a red-hot Collingwood side, but Richmond is still the team to beat for the 2019 premiership if the bookies are anything to go by.

And nothing has changed after a trade period in which the Pies picked up one of the league’s best midfielders in Dayne Beams.

But then, the Tigers didn’t do too badly either, loading up with Tom Lynch.

The top three contenders, Richmond, Collingwood and West Coast, have all stayed on the same odds they had at the end of the AFL season, but Melbourne has dropped from equal second favourite after losing key forward Jesse Hogan, despite bringing in Steven May.

Greater Western Sydney has had the biggest fall, from $9.00 before the trade period to $14.00 currently, obviously affected by the loss of Dylan Shiel, Tom Scully, Rory Lobb and Will Setterfield.

Scully’s move has seen his new club become the big shortener in the market, as Hawthorn comes in from $18 to $12, while Shiel brings Essendon down from $16 to join the Hawks on $12.

The biggest overall mover after filling some important needs during the trade period is Fremantle, with the Dockers’ odds dropping from $67 to a much more exciting $51.

Well, maybe not that exciting, but a little more pleasing than Gold Coast’s $251.

https://www.sportingnews.com/au/afl/news/afl-2019-premiership-odds-change-after-trade-period-moves/xfmwn83odaiu1pwnlu0nq3fgw

[Francois Jackson]

Wgaf really. Hopefully the cockiness of the club won’t be around in 12 months time

I can guarantee you we won’t be going into a finals series again with 18 or 20 wins straight at the g

[Slipper]

Gold Coast at $251


You could add 4 zeroes to that and it still would be unders.

[one-eyed]

Richmond has again been installed as he Ladbrokes fancy at $4.50 to win the premiership.

The team that beat Tigers in that preliminary final, Collingwood, is on the second line of betting at $6 and has been very well backed.

West Coast defied expectations to win in 2018 are is rated far more highly by the bookmakers this year and is the third favourite at $7.50.

Melbourne ($8), Essendon ($10), Adelaide ($11), GWS ($13) and Geelong ($17) round out the top eight in terms premiership contenders while Port Adelaide sits at $26.

https://www.adelaidenow.com.au/sport/ladbrokes-late-mail-brisbane-shapes-as-afls-big-improver-as-adelaides-women-continue-to-soar-in-aflw/news-story/124612a560ecc3f40b4980c38326ecb9

[one-eyed]

We've fallen from $4.50 to $6.00 after Rance did his knee.

Equal favourites with Collingwood.

https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/AFL%20Football/competitions/AFL%20Futures/matches/2019%20AFL%20Premiership