The AFL website is tipping us by around 3 goals.
Match preview: Richmond v Hawthorn AFL.com.au
Sarah Black
May 14, 2019
Where and when: MCG, Sunday May 19, 3:20pm AEST
Last time they met: MCG, qualifying final, 2018: Richmond 13.17 (95) defeated Hawthorn 9.10 (64)
A vintage Dustin Martin performance led Richmond to a comprehensive qualifying final win in soggy conditions. Kamydn McIntosh surprised to kick three, as did Jarryd Roughead, while midfield duo Jaegar O'Meara and Tom Mitchell starred for the Hawks.
What it means for Richmond: A chance to continue blooding kids while banking wins. The injury-hit Tigers have had their speedbumps this year, but have been boosted by the performance of their young players.
What it means for Hawthorn: The first time the club will have two consecutive wins for the season, and an opportunity to go ahead in the win-loss ledger for the first time since round three.
How Richmond wins: Pure manic run and pressure. Richmond will relish returning to the MCG and its small forward brigade is starting to work well with tall recruit Tom Lynch.
How Hawthorn wins: Exploiting Richmond's hole in the ruck. With Toby Nankervis set to miss due to a groin injury, Ben McEvoy and Jonathon Ceglar are well-placed to take advantage of the inexperienced Ivan Soldo.
The stat: Richmond and Hawthorn have played each other 158 times. Over that time, the Tigers average 91 points in those matches, while the Hawks average 90.
The match-up: Tom Lynch v James FrawleyFrawley turned back the clock with a vintage performance on the competition's leading goalkicker Jeremy Cameron, holding him goalless. The Tigers' one key forward, Lynch, is building match fitness and is crucial in bringing the ball down for the smalls.
It's a big week for: Dustin MartinAfter a quiet few weeks by his lofty standards, Martin is beginning to show some of his best. He's struggled without the hamstrung Trent Cotchin, but against Fremantle was crashing packs and tackling hard, finishing the match with a trademark goal.
Big call: With boosted confidence after a breakout game, Shai Bolton will follow up with another four-goal haul.
Prediction: Tigers by 17 points
https://www.afl.com.au/news/2019-05-14/match-preview-richmond-v-hawthorn