Richmond won't win the flag (afl site)

[one-eyed]

Richmond won't win the flag

Dinny Navaratnam
AFL.com.au
10 June 2019

Consider these results: a 44-point loss to Collingwood in round two, a 49-point defeat at the hands of Greater Western Sydney the following week and a 67-point thumping by Geelong last Friday night. Those three teams are considered the main premiership threats, along with West Coast, which the Tigers haven't faced yet.

Consider this as well: there were 10 teams with a percentage in the triple digits after Friday night. Richmond wasn't one of those, having sunk to a miserable 94.5 after the Cats clash. This Tigers side has turned it on in stages, but ultimately, looks a cut below the competition's elite.

https://www.afl.com.au/news/2019-06-10/six-things-we-learned-from-round-12

[Slipper]

Care factor......

[Owl]

Dinny Navaratnam ...footy oracle, thanks for the heads up lol

[pmac21]

Just did the dreaded ladder predictor and have us finishing inside the 8 (8th) by 2 games with 12 wins above Freo & Sydney on 10 wins. 
That is being quite conservative and losing to Adelaide, GWS, WC, Brisbane, Pies.  We play 3 of those interstate teams at the MCG. 

A lot will depend on when players come back from injury but hopefully we get on a roll towards the latter half of the year.  I think top 4 is done for us in 2019

[MintOnLamb]

I am shattered, I thought we were shoe ins.
This guy must be a genius.

[one-eyed]

Some quirky stats:

* We've only made the finals twice in our history with a percentage of less than 105 and that was virtually a hundred years ago (1916 & 1924).

* We are a 2-3 goal offensively and 1-2 goal defensively worse side now than we were in 2017-18.

* The last time we were 7-5 at this point of a season, we won the flag (2017).

* We were 7-6 after 13 rounds in 1969 yet went on to win the flag two years after a drought-breaking premiership.

https://afltables.com/afl/teams/richmond/season.html
https://afltables.com/afl/teams/richmond/allgames.html

[wayne]

Dinny Navaratnam doesn't get a lot wrong 

Might be time to tank 

[Simonator]

Wow what a bold statement.. look at our stuffn team you idiots, take the 3 most valuable players out of any team and see how they go

[YellowandBlackBlood]

Dinny Navaratnam doesn't get a lot wrong 

Might be time to tank 

[one-eyed]

Are you putting a line through Richmond as a flag contender?

Tim Watson: Yes I am. As a flag contender. I don’t think they’re going to come back and I don’t think they’re going to finish in the top four and it’s too hard to win a flag from the bottom half of the eight.

Garry Lyon: Yep.

https://www.sen.com.au/news/2019/06/17/qs-without-notice-are-the-hawks-and-tigers-done/

[YellowandBlackBlood]

Are you putting a line through Richmond as a flag contender?

Tim Watson: Yes I am. As a flag contender. I don’t think they’re going to come back and I don’t think they’re going to finish in the top four and it’s too hard to win a flag from the bottom half of the eight.

Garry Lyon: Yep.

https://www.sen.com.au/news/2019/06/17/qs-without-notice-are-the-hawks-and-tigers-done/

I didn't think we were a chance until I read these two guys opinions...

[Gracie]

Currently 7 and 5 with Saints and Suns the next two.

Looking likely to have Cotchin, Edwards, Lambert and Astbury back for those two. Then Jack and Nankervis shortly afterwards

Have to win next 2 and go to 9 and 5.

Then our last 7 games at MCG Giants, Port, Collingwood, Melbourne, Carlton, WCE, Brisbane. With our low % we would need to win at least 5 of that 7 to make sure of a finals

Tough but not unrealistic if we get the players back and keep them healthy.

Would have to win all 9 remaining games and have results go our way to make the top 4. Do that and we would have beaten 3 of the current top 4 to prove our credentials.

Not raising the white flag yet. See how we are positioned after the Collingwood game.