Caronavirus - COVID 19

[one-eyed]

VIC - 2232 new cases today. Reff=1.01. 779 in hospital. 141 in ICU (96 on ventilators). 12 deaths including a man in his 40s.

         - Hospitals: 88% not fully vaccinated
         - ICU:         98% not fully vaccinated

         - Victoria has reached 70% double dosed and 90% single dosed.

NSW - 372 new cases. 121 linked. 251 unlinked. Reff=0.72. 523 in hospital. 124 in ICU (64 on ventilators). 1 death.   

ACT - 28 new cases. 21 in hospital. 10 in ICU (8 on ventilators).

QLD - 1 new local case. An unvaccinated Uber driver, aged in his 30s, who was infectious on the Gold Coast for up to 10 days.

TAS - 0 new cases. Tassie has also reached 70% double dosed.


Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 57.4%
16+:  70.1%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

First dose:
12+ 90%: 14 days - Nov 4

Double dose:
16+ 80%: 10 days - Oct 31
16+ 90%: 34 days - Nov 24

12+ 70%:   4 days - Oct 25
12+ 80%: 13 days - Nov 3
12+ 90%: 49 days - Dec 9

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

VIC - 2189 new cases today. Reff=1.00. 784 in hospital. 145 in ICU (94 on ventilators). 16 deaths.

         - Hospitals: 88% not fully vaccinated
         - ICU:         96% not fully vaccinated

NSW - 345 new cases. 124 linked. 221 unlinked. Reff=0.74. 482 in hospital. 125 in ICU (67 on ventilators). 5 deaths.   

ACT - 13 new cases. 20 in hospital. 11 in ICU (8 on ventilators).

QLD - 0 new local cases. Fingers crossed.



Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 58.2%
16+:  70.8%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

First dose:
12+ 90%: 14 days - Nov 5

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   9 days - Oct 31
16+ 90%: 36 days - Nov 27

12+ 70%:   3 days - Oct 25
12+ 80%: 12 days - Nov 3
12+ 90%: 40 days - Dec 1

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1750 new cases today.  770 in hospital. 144 in ICU (90 on ventilators). 9 deaths.

         Reff=0.96 (first time below 1 since the beginning of this outbreak).
         

         This graph shows the stabilisation in hospital cases and ICU patients over the past week due to the increasing vaccination levels.
          

NSW - 332 new cases. 65 linked. 267 unlinked. Reff=0.77. 469 in hospital. 123 in ICU (66 on ventilators). 2 deaths.   

ACT - 24 new cases. 19 in hospital. 12 in ICU (4 on ventilators).


Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 59.7%
16+:  71.7%

Today Victoria and Australia reached 70% of the 12+ population fully vaccinated.

Australia has passed the USA in terms of the percentage of the total population vaccinated.

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

First dose:
12+ 90%: 14 days - Nov 6

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   7 days - Oct 30
16+ 90%: 36 days - Nov 28

12+ 80%: 10 days - Nov 2
12+ 90%: 39 days - Dec 1

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[Andyy]

Freedom day. People too busy out having fun, not getting tested.

Expect cases to spike again in a week or two.

[WilliamPowell]

Freedom day. People too busy out having fun, not getting tested.

Expect cases to spike again in a week or two.

Just on 70k test yesterday Andy

Key number will the number of tests results today

Another 40k of jabs done as well 

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1935 new cases today. Reff=1.03. 787 in hospital. 146 in ICU (93 on ventilators). 11 deaths including a 50 year old.

NSW - 296 new cases. 99 linked. 197 unlinked. Reff=0.80. 480 in hospital. 119 in ICU (67 on ventilators). 4 deaths.   

ACT - 9 new cases. 20 in hospital. 11 in ICU (4 on ventilators).


Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 59.7%
16+:  72.5%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

First dose:
12+ 90%: 13 days - Nov 6

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   6 days - Oct 30
16+ 90%: 33 days - Nov 26

12+ 80%:   9 days - Nov 2
12+ 90%: 36 days - Nov 29

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

Global 2️⃣nd   (total pop) leaderboard 24 Oct 2021

1. Portugal: 86.82%
2. UAE: 85.93%
3. Malta: 82.77%
4. Iceland: 81.04%
5. Spain: 79.58%
6. Singapore: 79.56%
7. Cambodia: 75.87%
8. Chile: 75.75%
9. Denmark: 75.73%
10. Qatar: 75.7%

11. Uruguay: 74.97%
12. Ireland: 74.97%
13. Jersey: 73.6%
14. Canada: 73.42%
15. Belgium: 73.24%
16. China: 72.56%
17. ACT: 72.2%
18. Malaysia: 71.9%
19. Aruba: 71.31%
20. Italy: 70.62%

21. NSW: 70.61%
22. South Korea: 69.45%
23. Japan: 68.97%
24. Netherlands: 68.31%
25. Norway: 68.08%
26. Finland: 67.98%
27. France: 67.5%
28. Sweden: 67.37%
29. United Kingdom: 66.69%
30. Bhutan: 66.36%

31. Germany: 65.53%
32. Mauritius: 65.5%
33. Bahrain: 65.01%
34. Israel: 64.98%
35. Maldives: 64.67%
36. European Union: 64.58%
37. Mongolia: 64.19%
38. Cyprus: 63.26%
39. Luxembourg: 62.94%
40. Switzerland: 62.15%

41. VICTORIA: 61.55%
42. Austria: 61.52%
43. Lithuania: 61.13%
44. Greece: 61.08%
45. Cuba: 60.93%
46. New Zealand: 60.4%
47. AUSTRALIA: 60.26%
48. Sri Lanka: 60.16%
49. Saudi Arabia: 59.6%
50. Hungary: 59.32%

51. TASMANIA: 59.17%
52. Hong Kong: 57.92%
53. Fiji: 57.28%
54. United States: 56.55%
55. Morocco: 56.54%
56. El Salvador: 56.53%
57. Czechia: 56.41%
58. Ecuador: 56.41%
59. Turkey: 56.4%
60. Curacao: 55.64%

61. Estonia: 55.34%
62. Argentina: 55.04%
63. Europe: 54.38%
64. Panama: 53.66%
65. Slovenia: 53.37%
66. Brunei: 53.21%
67. Turkmenistan: 52.41%
68. Poland: 52.37%
69. French Polynesia: 52.09%
70. Latvia: 51.78%

71. Brazil: 51.56%
72. SA: 51.31%
73. North America: 50.19%
74. Macao: 49.96%
75. Costa Rica: 49.18%
76. QLD: 49.07%
77. New Caledonia: 48.96%
78. NT: 48.84%
79. South America: 48.17%
80. WA: 47.67%

World data sourced from @OurWorldInData.

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau/status/1452129932604182534

[one-eyed]

80% double dosed 16+ year olds:

Changes come into effect from Friday, October 29 at 6:00pm.

* The border around Melbourne will be dropped, allowing Victorians to travel anywhere in the state ahead of the Melbourne Cup weekend.

* Masks will no longer be mandatory in outdoor settings where social distancing is possible and entertainment and retail venues can re-open.

* The "vaccinated economy", which includes vaccine mandates for both workers and patrons at most venues, will now apply right across the state.

* Most patron caps at venues will be scrapped, replaced by a density quotient of one person per 4 square metres allowed in most indoor settings. At most outdoor venues, that drops to one person per 2sqm.

* Events such as music festivals will be able to go ahead with up to 5,000 punters. Larger events, like the Melbourne Cup, will go ahead if they get approval from the Chief Health Officer.

* Children under the age of 16 will not have to show proof of inoculation.

* The return to schools will remain unchanged, with students heading back to classrooms in greater numbers from November 1.

90% double dosed 12+ year olds:

Likely to come in effect approximately November 24.

* The "vaccinated economy" will remain in place at this stage, with unvaccinated Victorians continuing to be locked out of most settings. The vaccine mandate will apply to all non-essential retail from this stage of the roadmap. Unvaccinated people will still be able to visit essential stores like supermarkets and pharmacies.

* All caps and density limits will be lifted.

* Masks will only be required in high-risk indoor setting, for instance, public transport, prisons, hospitals, aged care to give you some examples."

* A goal of having more than 80,000 people at the MCG for the Boxing Day Test.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-24/victoria-records-new-covid-19-cases-and-deaths-restrictions/100563506
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-records-1935-new-cases-11-deaths-20211024-p592l0.html

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1461 new cases today. Reff=1.03. 802 in hospital. 152 in ICU (92 on ventilators). 7 deaths.

         - Two thirds of the new cases in the past week in Victoria have not received a first or second dose of the vaccine.
         - In Wyndham 96% of new cases under 40 years old were not fully vaccinated
         - In Hume 97% of new cases under the age of 40 were not fully vaccinated.

NSW - 294 new cases. 116 linked. 178 unlinked. Reff=0.85. 474 in hospital. 116 in ICU (57 on ventilators). 4 deaths.   

ACT - 9 new cases. 20 in hospital. 10 in ICU (5 on ventilators).


Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 60.3%
16+:  73.1%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

First dose:
12+ 90%: 12 days - Nov 6

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   5 days - Oct 30
16+ 90%: 33 days - Nov 27

12+ 80%:   8 days - Nov 2
12+ 90%: 36 days - Nov 30

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1510 new cases today. Reff=0.92. 817 in hospital. 147 in ICU (88 on ventilators). 4 deaths.

         

NSW - 282 new cases. 64 linked. 220 unlinked. Reff=0.90. 457 in hospital. 108 in ICU (57 on ventilators). 1 death.   

         

ACT - 12 new cases. 15 in hospital. 9 in ICU (5 on ventilators).

QLD - 2 new local cases.


Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 60.6%
16+:  73.4%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   5 days - Oct 31
16+ 90%: 28 days - Nov 23

12+ 80%:   9 days - Nov 4
12+ 90%: 31 days - Nov 26

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

South Australia will ease its border restrictions for double-vaccinated people from November 23.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/sa-announces-covid-19-roadmap-including-repeal-of-border-restrictions-on-november-23/ar-AAPX6Gd

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1534 new cases today. Reff=0.83. 748 in hospital. 138 in ICU (87 on ventilators). 13 deaths.

          - Of the new cases reported in Victoria, 85% were NOT fully vaccinated.
          - Of those in ICU 95% are NOT fully vaccinated.
          - In comparison, 37% of Victoria's total population is not fully vaccinated.

NSW - 305 new cases. 120 linked. 185 unlinked. Reff=1.00. 418 in hospital. 97 in ICU (43 on ventilators). 3 death.   

ACT - 10 new cases. 11 in hospital. 6 in ICU (5 on ventilators).

QLD - 0 new local cases.


Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 61.3%
16+:  73.4%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   3 days - Oct 30
16+ 90%: 29 days - Nov 25

12+ 80%:   8 days - Nov 4
12+ 90%: 32 days - Nov 28

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

FDA advised to authorise Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine for US children aged five to 11:

https://abc.net.au/news/2021-10-27/fda-advisers-back-pfizer-covid-19-vaccine-for-children/100571348
 
I said coming our way soon - should get approval here before Christmas

https://twitter.com/profesterman/status/1453117366540259332

---------------------------------------------

Rapid COVID-19 tests to be available in supermarkets from next week:

https://www.9news.com.au/national/coronavirus-update-rapid-antigen-tests-to-be-available-at-australian-supermarkets-coles-woolworths/1c16791a-1473-45f1-ab78-cddf615d118d

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1923 new cases today. Reff=0.86. 746 in hospital. 137 in ICU (85 on ventilators). 25 deaths.

         - 69% of hospitalisations were completely unvaccinated.
         - 86% of ICUs were completely unvaccinated.

NSW - 293 new cases. All unlinked. Reff=1.00. 381 in hospital. 82 in ICU (43 on ventilators). 2 deaths.   

ACT - 8 new cases. 10 in hospital. 7 in ICU (5 on ventilators).



Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 61.9%
16+:  74.8%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   2 days - Oct 30
16+ 90%: 28 days - Nov 25

12+ 80%:   5 days - Nov 2
12+ 90%: 31 days - Nov 28

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau

[one-eyed]

VIC - 1656 new cases today. Reff=0.81. 738 in hospital. 130 in ICU (85 on ventilators). 10 deaths.

         
         

NSW - 268 new cases. 53 linked. 215 unlinked. Reff=0.81. 383 in hospital. 80 in ICU (38 on ventilators). 2 deaths.   

ACT - 10 new cases. 9 in hospital. 6 in ICU (5 on ventilators).



Fully vaccinated Oz population:
Total: 62.5%
16+:  75.5%

Victorian vaccination projections (at the current rate):

Double dose:
16+ 80%:   2 days - Oct 31
16+ 90%: 28 days - Nov 26

12+ 80%:   5 days - Nov 3
12+ 90%: 31 days - Nov 29

https://twitter.com/covidbaseau