Richmond v Fremantle PreviewAndrew Slevison
SEN
1 May 2024Richmond enters this Sunday afternoon fixture off the back of a 43-point loss to Melbourne where they were more than competitive for almost three quarters.
Fremantle got back on there winners’ list by beating the Bulldogs by 24 points in Perth in Round 7. It was a much-needed result after three straight defeats.
The fact that this match is at the MCG would hold no fears for the Dockers who have three of their last five at the venue, including two big wins over Melbourne.
They get a Tigers side that is devoid of a lot of senior players with the likes of Tim Taranto, Jacob Hopper, Dion Prestia, Tom Lynch and Noah Balta, plus a few more, sidelined.
One major issue facing Adem Yze is a somewhat makeshift forward line that has been unable to hit the scoreboard regularly enough across 2024, and in the last three weeks in particular. The Tigers have averaged just 57 points in those three consecutive defeats and are the second lowest scoring side in the AFL so far.
What makes that scenario even more difficult for Richmond is that Freo boasts the third measliest defence (conceding an average of 70 points per game) in the league.
Where do the Tigers get their goals from? Shai Bolton leads the way with 15, so you can pencil him in for one or two, but next on the list is Liam Baker (7), Mykelti Lefau (7) and Maurice Rioli (6). It doesn’t scream a winning score.
The Tigers are also down on quality midfielders so expect the likes of Caleb Serong, Andrew Brayshaw and Nat Fyfe to get busy in the middle and dominate clearance.
It’s hard to trust the Dockers, who have a fondness for swiftly mixing their form, but it’s just hard to see them not being able to stymy Richmond’s undermanned attack.
The expected return of Jye Amiss, plus Josh Treacy, Luke Jackson and co. should create enough headaches for Richmond’s defence, and although the Tigers will likely be competitive for large portions, they just lack the star power.
On the flip side, the Dockers have enough good players playing well enough to see this one out.
Tip: Fremantle by 16 points.
https://www.sen.com.au/news/2024/05/01/who-will-win-and-why-the-tips-and-predictions-for-afl-round-8/