Reckon Richo has around 12 votes so far. Us winning gives the big fella 2-3 votes each time so if we can knock off sides around us on the ladder in the next few weeks he'll be a big show for the Brownlow .
He's a very good chance for the 3 votes in all of our wins
Blues - 18 disposals 11 marks 5 goals 2 behinds
Dockers - 25 disposals 15 marks 4 goals 3 behinds
Bombers - 19 disposals 14 marks 2 goals 2 behinds
Demons - 21 disposals 18 marks 5 goals straight
Also should get 2 or 3 votes in the loss to StKilda with 22 disposals 13 marks 5 goals 1 behind
And is a good chance at votes in the draw with the Bulldogs 19 disposals 9 marks 3 goals 1
Even the Hawthorn loss he had arguably his best match of the year with 27 disposals 13 marks 4 goals 1 behind
He could have as much as 17-18 votes by now
Spot on Infamy all depends on how is relationship is with the umps on the ground and whether blokes like Lids or Axel will take votes off him. Still this all could be a diversion by the media knowing we are success starved as a club and many of our supporters will jump on and unequivocally support much like when Campbo was fav in 1995 in a side thet won 15.5 home and away games yet polled badly. Hopefully the fact that we are 4.5 wins till now will not affect his chances in the eyes of the umps.
Last 25 years of Brownlows and Position on Ladder his club finished.
1983 Ross Glendenning (North) 1st
1984 Peter Moore (Melb) 9th
1985 Brad Hardie (Foots) 2nd
1986 Greg Williams (Syd) 2nd Robert Dipierdomenico (Haw) 1st
1987 John Platten (Haw) 2nd Tony Lockett (StK) 10th
1988 Gerard Healy (Syd) 7th
1989 Paul Couch (Geel) 3rd
1990 Tony Liberatore (Foots) 6th
1991 Jim Stynes (Melb) 5th
1992 Scott Wynd (Foots) 2nd
1993 Gavin Wanganeen (Ess) 1st
1994 Greg Williams (Carl) 2nd
1995 Paul Kelly (Syd) 12th
1996 Michael Voss (B Brs) 3rd James Hird (Ess) 6th
1997 Robert Harvey (StK) 1st Chris Grant polled more but was ineligible due to suspension.
Western Bulldogs for the record finished 3rd.
1998 Robert Harvey (StK) 6th
1999 Shane Crawford (Haw) 9th
2000 Shane Woewoedin (Melb) 3rd
2001 Jason Akermanis (Bris) 2nd
2002 Simon Black (Bris) 2nd
2003 Nathan Buckley (Coll) 2nd Adam Goodes (Syd) 4th Mark Riccuito (Adel) 6th
2004 Chris Judd (WCE) 7th
2005 Ben Cousins (WCE) 1st
2006 Adam Goodes (Syd) 4th
2007 Jimmy Bartel (Geel) 1st
Lets break down the facts for Richo's chances
In the last 25 years 5 players have won the Brownlow from clubs that have not made the finals.
Paul Kelly in 1995 won in a team that had 8 victories for the season. The last time a player from a club outside the finals to win was Crawf for the Hawks in 1999.
Of the 30 Brownlows awarded since 1983
21 have gone to midfielders
5 to ruckmen Goodes(2) Moore Wynd Stynes
3 players who played predominantely in defence the year they won Glendenning Wanganeen Hardie
1 Forward in Plugger in 1987
If we deduce Richo to have a chance as a forward, statistics show he is a 1 in 30 chance to win at a percentage of 3.33% based on the awarding of Brownlows based on players positions in the last 25 years.
Based on being a midfielder (utility) this year in the eyes of the umps midfielders are a 70% chance to win this year but take into account the other mids also such as Cooney and Ablett.
Based on Club he has 0% chance. The best a Richmond player has done in the Brownlow in the last 25 years is Maurice Rioli finish 1 vote behind Ross Glendenning in 2nd place in 1983.
With all that take what u will fellow Tigers and lets hope Richo bucks some of the trends and takes Charlie home.