Betting thread 2005

[mightytiges]

The other problem is that we could start losing games which would definitely write us off.

If we were to start losing, Cogs would have to be the exception there.  In 2003, he showed that he can still get votes, regardless of whether the team wins or loses.  IIRC, that year, he actually polled slightly more votes in games we lost than won.  In a game we lost to the Bombers by 6+ goals, he received 3 votes and another 3 votes in a small loss to the Hawks.  So I wouldn’t necessarily write us off completely.

Cogs 2003 Brownlow votes

R3 Freo - 3   W
R4 St K  - 3   W
R7 Ess  - 2    W
R14 Ade - 1   L
R15 Gee - 1   L
R20 Ess - 3    L
R22 Haw - 3   L
-----------
Total  - 16

[Tiger Spirit]

Thanks for that MT.  Couldn't remember exactly how it went, but it was that he polled in more losing games, rather than received more votes in losing games, albeit one.

[JohnF]

The other problem is that we could start losing games which would definitely write us off.

If we were to start losing, Cogs would have to be the exception there.  In 2003, he showed that he can still get votes, regardless of whether the team wins or loses.  IIRC, that year, he actually polled slightly more votes in games we lost than won.  In a game we lost to the Bombers by 6+ goals, he received 3 votes and another 3 votes in a small loss to the Hawks.  So I wouldn’t necessarily write us off completely.

Good point.

Just on Cogs though, if he is to be a serious contender he better get a wriggle on. I'd say there would be only 2 or 3 games at most where he could have picked up votes in. Although we can never really tell, for mine he'd have about 5 or so votes by now. Maybe one or two more if we're lucky.

His last 2 weeks have been great and if he keeps that form throughout the year then he will definitely be up there.

[one-eyed]

Tiger spoon not for sale
By Len Johnson
The Age
May 24, 2005

The on-field signs of a Richmond revival - seven wins from nine games; defeating Brisbane at the Lions' once-impregnable Gabba fortress - are compelling, but there is an equally compelling off-field portent. If you want to back the Tigers for the wooden spoon, you can't.

Despite Richmond's impeccable credentials for the lowly kitchen implement traditionally associated with finishing bottom of the ladder - it has finished higher than ninth only once in the past nine seasons - seven wins from the first nine games of season 2005 have persuaded TAB Sportsbet that there are limits to the separation of finance from fools.

So no matter how convinced a punter may be that Richmond's run cannot last, TAB Sportsbet will not take his or her hard-earned.

"We've looked back over the past half-a-dozen years and more and five wins has been the most for any wooden-spoon winner," Sportsbet spokesman Gary Davies said yesterday.

That means no quote is being offered on Richmond, nor West Coast, nor Geelong. You can still get on Melbourne, which is the only team on six wins, but the Demons are paying $501 in the unlikely event that they do not win another game and finish bottom of the ladder.

The revision of the AFL's pecking order this year is reflected in the betting on the premiership and the wooden spoon.

Geelong came in to $3.75 favouritism for the flag yesterday afternoon after opening the day sharing top billing with West Coast at $4.

Despite its win over West Coast, Collingwood was clinging to spoon favouritism yesterday at $2.10, but Davies said he expected that Carlton, second-favourite at $2.40, would soon firm to outright favouritism.

Like the flag market, the wooden spoon can fluctuate wildly. Just a few weeks ago, Hawthorn was odds-on, but now you can get $6.50 about Alastair Clarkson and his team finishing 16th.

As for the Tigers, they are now $14 for the flag. They were $61 when markets opened and got out to $101 after being pumped by Geelong in the first round.

http://www.realfooty.theage.com.au/realfooty/articles/2005/05/23/1116700649594.html

[mightytiges]

Collingwood was clinging to spoon favouritism yesterday at $2.10, but Davies said he expected that Carlton, second-favourite at $2.40, would soon firm to outright favouritism.

What a shame  . How good is this year when you can hang it on every Pie, Blue and bombers mate and they have no comeback whatsoever  .

As for the Tigers, they are now $14 for the flag.

Not even thinking about it lol 

[Moi]

I just put some money on Nathan Brown for the Brownlow - he's fourth favourite at the moment where i bet at $13.00, with Cousins, Pavlich, Ricciuto ahead of him.  Thought I'd better get on before it wasn't worth it any more.

Also, does anyone know where i can place a bet for first goal for tonight.  Where i bet they don't have the first goal option, which is a bummer.

[mightytiges]

I reckon Sydney isnt a bad bet at $18 for the flag.

They have been around the mark and may find enough to go close, especially if they get home finals.

Bully the psychic guru  .