Should win at least 2, could win up to 4 IMO, so I reckon we'll win 3.
Games against Carlton, Dogs and Melbourne aren't lock-ins. Hardly beat Carlton last year, lost to both Dogs and Dees. Geelong will beat us as usual. Normally beat Brisbane, but I reckon they'll be a different team this year with Rich coming back, Beams coming in, Luenberger fit, young talls a year older etc.