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Author Topic: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018  (Read 717 times)

Offline one-eyed

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Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
« on: March 04, 2018, 02:39:52 AM »
Champion Data results of 100,000 simulations of the 2018 season.

Methodology here ( https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316877322_Using_Player_Quality_and_Injury_Profiles_to_Simulate_Results_in_Australian_Football ) but with tweaks to how improvement/decline is modeled.


https://twitter.com/championdata/status/969389883251814400
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Dougeytherichmondfan

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Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2018, 12:15:10 PM »
What did Champion data have us finishing last year?
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Offline mightytiges

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Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2018, 12:38:46 PM »
Quote from: Dougeytherichmondfan on March 04, 2018, 12:15:10 PM
What did Champion data have us finishing last year?
10th with 10 wins plus a 25% chance of making the finals.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/how-many-games-will-your-club-win-in-2017-champion-datas-simulation-of-afl-season-for-every-team/news-story/1c9d3e4c2c1b1088f34d795b4cde517f


And once again they overrated Collingwood as a finalist  :wallywink.
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Dougeytherichmondfan

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Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2018, 12:49:37 PM »
Thanks MT. Interesting, they obviously missed by a fair margin, but most pundits predicted bottom 4 and sliding for 2017.
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Online Hard Roar Tiger

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Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2018, 01:30:58 PM »
Catman will have the same look of horror as he did during the qualifying final when he sees the cats ranking....
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“I find it nearly impossible to make those judgments, but he is certainly up there with the really important ones, he is certainly up there with the Francis Bourkes and the Royce Harts and the Kevin Bartlett and the Kevin Sheedys, there is no doubt about that,” Balme said.

Offline cub

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Re: Champion Data have Richmond finishing 5th in 2018
« Reply #5 on: March 04, 2018, 02:46:08 PM »
Anyone else see Champion data mentioned anywhere and just skip to the next topic like me  :huh
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