Will we make Finals?

[one-eyed]

Up to 5th with a percentage of 105  .

[Dougeytherichmondfan]

And yet, if we lose we could fall out of the 8.

Its a very tight race.

[one-eyed]

5. Richmond

40 points (10 wins, six losses), 104.9 per cent
The Tigers are starting to hum. There were signs they were back to their best against Greater Western Sydney, and they should at least claim wins over Port, Melbourne and Carlton. Collingwood, West Coast and Brisbane will be harder tasks, but as they generate more form anything is possible. Right in the hunt for a top-four finish now. - Callum Twomey

The run home
R18: Port Adelaide @ MCG
R19: Collingwood @ MCG
R20: Melbourne @ MCG
R21: Carlton @ MCG
R22: West Coast @ MCG
R23: Brisbane @ MCG

https://www.afl.com.au/news/2019-07-14/the-run-home-round-17

[Damo]

And yet, if we lose we could fall out of the 8.

Its a very tight race.

Two games in

[Jackstar is back!!!]

Will finish 4th

[one-eyed]

"Ominous" Tigers looming large: Nick Riewoldt

By SEN
15 July 2019

Things are starting to come together for Richmond, with the club hitting their stride as key players return from injury.

The Tigers comfortably handled GWS at the MCG on Sunday afternoon and now won’t leave the home of football for the rest of the season.

Nick Riewoldt is bullish about Richmond finding form at the right time of the year.

“Yesterday was ominous, but this isn’t a knee jerk reaction either, this has been building since Round 4 really,” he told SEN Breakfast.

“We know they’ve faced a lot of challenges this year with all their big guns out.

“They’ve had issues all year and now they’re just finally coming together. They’ve got their squad fit and healthy.

“Their style is a really sustainable one and it stands up in big games. Their ability to create turnovers, to score from turnovers and to defend really strongly is just about the best in the competition.

“They dropped a few games during the middle part of the season, just because they didn’t have the cattle out there.

“Now they’ve got them back, Tom Lynch is playing himself into some really strong form, that’s about the best game he’s played for the club.

“They’ve up to fifth and of the teams behind them, GWS, Adelaide, Essendon and Port, I can’t see any of those teams mowing them down on the run to the finals. They’ve got their last six at the MCG.”

https://www.sen.com.au/news/2019/07/14/ominous-tigers-looming-large-riewoldt/

[one-eyed]

Run to the finals: how your team's draw is shaping up

Scott Spits
The Age
18 July 2019

RICHMOND

Ranking: +1.0 (11th easiest draw = 8th hardest)

All their matches will be played at MCG (hooray say Tigers fans!). But then you realise their opponents include Collingwood, West Coast and Brisbane Lions (perhaps a reality check). Richmond have done the hard work to almost secure a finals spot. From here anything is possible, however.

https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/run-to-the-finals-how-your-team-s-draw-is-shaping-up-20190717-p5285a.html

[tdy]

With 10 wins so far we ought to win 3 more at least and make finals. I'd love it if we won 6/6 we'd make top 4 but I doubt it.

[one-eyed]

Up to 11 wins and up to 107.5%. Puts up currently equal 2nd on percentage although the other top 4 sides have to play this round.

[one-eyed]

The run home: Forget top four, can Tigers make top two?

Marc McGowan
AFL.com.au
Jul 22, 2019

5. Richmond

44 points (11 wins, six losses), 107.5 per cent
The pieces are coming together for the Tigers and when coach Damien Hardwick starts nitpicking, you know they're going well. Tom Lynch and Jack Riewoldt combined for six goals in a comfortable win over Port Adelaide, with a mouth-watering Friday night clash against the Pies to come. Toby Nankervis, Josh Caddy and Kamdyn McIntosh are in contention to return for that contest. All five of Richmond's remaining games are at the 'G and a top-four finish seems likely.


The run home
R19: Collingwood @ MCG
R20: Melbourne @ MCG
R21: Carlton @ MCG
R22: West Coast @ MCG
R23: Brisbane @ MCG

https://www.afl.com.au/news/2019-07-21/the-run-home-round-18

[one-eyed]

Fox Footy is predicting us to finish 4th with 14 wins and play Geelong in a Qualifying Final.


5. Richmond (11-6, 107.5%)

Remaining games: Collingwood at MCG, Melbourne at MCG, Carlton at MCG, West Coast Eagles at MCG, Brisbane Lions at MCG

Remaining fixture difficulty: Fifth-hardest (opponents’ average percentage 101.3, three top eight opponents, no games out of home state)

Percentage of teams making top 8 from current record (1994-2016): 97%

The Tigers are so good they’re able to stop the power of Port Adelaide’s win-loss-win-loss streak, and hand them a second defeat in a row. Now that’s impressive. Seriously though, this team is roaring into form, and after Collingwood’s loss to GWS we now have Richmond making the top four. Their percentage is becoming less and less of an issue each week, and while the Tigers do still have to play three of the four teams above them on the ladder, they’ll almost certainly be favoured against all of them. We don’t know if you’ve heard but Richmond is playing quite a few games at the Melbourne Cricket Ground at the moment. And, as we’ve said for a couple of weeks now, they might not be playing elsewhere until 2020.

Fox Footy’s projection: 14.35 wins, finishing fourth

-----------------------------------------------------------------

PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS

First Qualifying Final (1 v 4): Geelong Cats v Richmond

First Elimination Final (5 v 8 ): GWS Giants v Adelaide Crows

Second Elimination Final (6 v 7): Collingwood v Essendon

Second Qualifying Final (2 v 3): Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles

PROJECTED FINAL LADDER

1. Geelong Cats (16.4 projected wins)
2. Brisbane Lions (15)
3. West Coast Eagles (14.95)
4. Richmond (14.35)
5. Collingwood (13.7)
6. GWS Giants (13.35)
7. Essendon (13)
8. Adelaide Crows (12)
-----------------------------
9. Port Adelaide (10.6)
10. Hawthorn (10.35)
11. Fremantle (10.25)
12. Western Bulldogs (9.95)
13. North Melbourne (9.45)
14. St Kilda (9.1)
15. Sydney Swans (8.15)
16. Melbourne (6.9)
17. Carlton (6.55)
18. Gold Coast Suns (4)

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/latest-afl-run-home-predicted-finals-series-and-final-ladder-round-18-2019/news-story/fc649d3ce2f077ccf7d669f70ac0864b

[Tiger Khosh]

I can’t see us winning 3/5 and finishing 4th considering our % is the worst of the top 6.

4/5, 15 wins is the magic number I reckon.

[one-eyed]

Champion Data is predicting us to finish 4th (65% chance) and play Geelong in a Qualifying Final.


Source: Adelaide Advertiser.

[one-eyed]

We've officially qualified for the finals for the sixth year out of the past seven  .

You have to go back to the Hafey era and the 70s since we last achieved the same run of finals appearances. 

The only period that betters both of them was between 1927-1944 when we made the finals 16 times in 18 years.

https://afltables.com/afl/teams/richmond/season.html

[torch]

6 out of 7 seasons?

2013, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019

8 matches ... 4 wins ... 4 losses ... 1 Premiership.

Need another Premiership