Can Richmond challenge again in 2023?

[one-eyed]

The run home: Tigers in trouble

Michael Whiting
afl.com.au
3 July 2023

15. Richmond

26 points (six wins, eight losses, one draw), 95.6 per cent

Getting hammered by Brisbane didn't help their cause, but the Tigers have an opportunity in the next three weeks to keep themselves in the top-eight hunt with matches against teams level or below them on the ladder. Aside from the trip to Perth to face West Coast in round 18, their only other game outside Melbourne is the daunting final round against high-flying Port Adelaide. The Tigers could start favourites in five - or six if they get rolling - matches. It's a lot of work to do, and unlikely, but still not impossible.

The run home:
R17: Sydney @ MCG
R18: West Coast @ Optus Stadium
R19: Hawthorn @ MCG
R20: Melbourne @ MCG
R21: Western Bulldogs @ Marvel Stadium
R22: St Kilda @ Marvel Stadium
R23: North Melbourne @ MCG
R24: Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval

https://www.afl.com.au/news/958077/the-run-home-dogs-make-a-charge-tigers-in-trouble

[one-eyed]

Power Rankings after Round 16

Max Laughton
Foxsports
4 July 2023

9. RICHMOND (6-8-1, 95.6%)

Last week’s ranking: 6

We don’t want to completely throw away the confidence we gained in the Tigers over their three-game winning streak, but the entirely flat manner of their loss to Brisbane makes that hard. It’s not like we thought Richmond would win; we just thought they’d, you know, show up? Already announcing Sam Banks and Jacob Bauer will debut on Thursday night is interesting - are they trying to manage expectations? Or are they just acknowledging even if they sneak into the eight, while it’d be a great story (and they could probably win a game or two), that’s not really what this season is about from here? If they beat Sydney, they’re still in the finals mix, but likely needing another five wins from their last seven.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2023-power-rankings-after-round-16-highlights-every-club-ranked-analysis-ladder-predictions-contenders-latest/news-story/9adb3a6aca31c441b723d5ea23d48b2c

[one-eyed]

Tigers’ burning question: Is it now or never for Richmond and coach Andrew McQualter?

Fox Footy’s David King dubs July “the big boy month”. It’s a four-week period where premiership-hopeful clubs make their move. And we’re not saying the Tigers are in premiership contention here - but it’s a month the club has used to success in recent years to set themselves up. This year, it could be to set up a final tilt at finals, or set McQualter up in the job for 2024 and beyond. Statistics show the Tigers went 15-3 for the month of July between 2017 and 2020. “Richmond had a way of doing it - they were amazing during this period in their premiership years,” King said on AFL 360. “We’re spot on when we talk about this is the month of opportunity.” McQualter had impressed with three wins in four games - with that one loss coming against premiership fancies Port Adelaide before last weekend’s devastating loss to Brisbane. Now the side needs to respond.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-2023-the-blowtorch-round-17-preview-every-clubs-burning-question-fox-footy-commentators-tv-broadcast-guide-fixture-news/news-story/a59191e8545646b8f1d8f00f1e4bb308

[one-eyed]

From Barrett's 'Sliding Doors' column:



IF ...
three of the Tigers' remaining matches are against the dreadful three teams on the bottom of the ladder ...

THEN ...
finals remain a massive possibility. And once again, if they get there, look out.

https://www.afl.com.au/news/963060/if-weideman-and-wright-can-t-hit-the-scoreboard-then

[Tiger Khosh]

Barrett flips from ‘there’s a reason they’re bottom 10’ to ‘there’s a chance they’ll make it and they’ll be dangerous if they do’ almost weekly.

[Diocletian]

Parrot is a Flip.

[Willy]

From Barrett's 'Sliding Doors' column:



IF ...
three of the Tigers' remaining matches are against the dreadful three teams on the bottom of the ladder ...

THEN ...
finals remain a massive possibility. And once again, if they get there, look out.

https://www.afl.com.au/news/963060/if-weideman-and-wright-can-t-hit-the-scoreboard-then

  What a turkey this guy is

[mat073]

West Coast have been terrible- but they’re more competitive at home . We wouldn’t want to give them a sniff as they’ll win one sooner or later .

Hawthorn can best anyone on their day - they can also not turn up .

Our backline is holding up and the midfield is competitive but the forward line keeps me awake at night . How reliant we are on a cooked , past his prime champion.

Nervously optimistic.

[Tiger Khosh]

So we’re going to be 6 points off 5th-7th and 2-4points off 8th.

2 winnable games to come.

[mightytiges]

So we’re going to be 6 points off 5th-7th and 2-4points off 8th.

2 winnable games to come.

Finals door wide open if we're good and hungry enough.

Need to tick both off if we want to make finals. We can't afford to take any game lightly though. Our ressies stupidly found that out the hard way. 

If the results of the other games in the next two rounds go as expected, then we might even be sitting in the Eight if we win both these games.

[one-eyed]

Fox Footy is now predicting us to finish 10th.


Run Home after Rd 17: Race to 13 heats up after Dons’ mini-final win as Tigers, Blues surge into hunt

Max Laughton
Foxsports
9 July 2023

- Richmond is the most likely team to play finals from outside the top nine, with their extra two points from the draw putting them in a similar spot to Adelaide, but they’d still need to win five of their last seven games which will be tricky;

12. RICHMOND (7-8-1, 96.9%)

Remaining games

Round 18: West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium

Round 19: Hawthorn at the MCG

Round 20: Melbourne at the MCG

Round 21: Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium

Round 22: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium

Round 23: North Melbourne at the MCG

Round 24: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval

Remaining fixture difficulty: Easiest

A thrilling win in Thursday night’s mini-final over Sydney keeps the Tigers well and truly in the hunt. Their draw still comes in handy against every team around them bar Geelong - so if Andrew McQualter’s men can win five of their last seven games, and they finish on 12 and a half wins, that may just be enough. You’d expect them to win their next two, and beat North Melbourne in Round 23, so their season is really on the line against the Dees, Dogs and Saints. Beat all three and they’re playing finals. Beat two and they’re in a very good (but beatable) spot. Beat just one or none, and we’d say they’re done.

Fox Footy’s projection: 11.55 wins, finishing 10th




https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2023-the-run-home-after-round-17-predicted-ladder-top-eight-finals-ladder-predictor-analysis-fixture/news-story/078be76b714f171bd59e766ff72b04ea

[Tiger Khosh]

Let’s get through the next 2 games and then see what happens. Melbourne without fritsch and Oliver may still be out by then too. I’d give us a big shot against them with those 2 missing.

[lamington]

I’d love to storm home and scrape the 8 with now a fit martin. We got rolled by Brisbane last year with an underdone dusty but he is our talisman and if he’s in form finals opponents better beware

[one-eyed]

The Run Home after Round 17

Sarah Black
afl.com.au
10 July 2023

12. Richmond

30 points (seven wins, eight losses, one draw), 96.9 per cent

The Tigers came into the round in 15th, but secured a much-needed win over Sydney in their first game of former coach Damien Hardwick's infamous "big boy month" of July. Pencil in next week against West Coast (the Tigers have a decent record in Perth), and Hawthorn should be straightforward, but three decisive matches against Melbourne, the Western Bulldogs and St Kilda – the latter two at the bogey ground of Marvel Stadium – will see the Tigers either sink or swim.

The run home
R18: West Coast @ Optus Stadium
R19: Hawthorn @ MCG
R20: Melbourne @ MCG
R21: Western Bulldogs @ Marvel Stadium
R22: St Kilda @ Marvel Stadium
R23: North Melbourne @ MCG
R24: Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval

https://www.afl.com.au/news/963072/the-run-home-dockers-stumble-bombers-make-a-move

[torch]

Must win v …

West Coast
Hawthorn
North Melbourne

Need to win 3/4 v …

Melbourne
St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
Port Adelaide

13.5 wins should cement a spot

would 12.5 be “just enough”? Depending on other results