Oh goodie another thread on tanking lol
It might be an idea torch to split all that up into a few paragraphs to make it easier to read
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Adelaide, Collingwood and North may have made finals regularly over the past decade for various reasons but all haven't looked like winning a flag. Not enough class on their lists to step up as real contenders.
The Cats have had the benefit of a heap of father-sons under the old rule where they got top 10 quality at 3rd round bargin basement price. So effectively they had two top 10 picks in those drafts to gain the top class needed to form the basis for the side they have become. Half their premiership side were either top 25 draftees or Father/Sons who were rated as top 10 picks. If you look at their more recent drafting those that have cemented a spot in their 22 now like Varcoe and Taylor were top 20 picks as well. As recruiting becomes more and more sophisticated the most talented kids are now found more and more at the top end of the draft (top 20). 'Tanking' would give us 3 picks at this more profitable pointy end hence the argument for us to 'tank'.
Also the lessons from Geelong's rebuild is to keep your picks and in fact trade for more. In 1999 and 2001 they drafted 15 kids from the National draft alone (most 3rd rounders or better). They learnt a hard lesson from 2000 that trading picks for recycled players while rebuilding as a quick fix doesn't work. So within 3 drafts Thompson had set-up a young core of 23 players to sort through and build around. 10 of the 23 would go on to become premiership players. Another 5 came from the pre-Thomson era. So that's 15 future premiership players on their list by the end of 2001 yet they wouldn't make the finals for another 3 years (2004) and a flag for another 6 years (2007).
Compare that to Richmond where Wallace recruited 7 kids in 2004 yet we went back into old bad habits of drafting only 13 kids over the past 4 National drafts and traded away picks for recycled players. Now less than half of Thompson's original young core of 23 "made-it". Using the same percentage at Richmond leaves about 5 kids from 2005-8 drafts who will go on and make it
. At that rate it would take you almost 20 years to get a full side's worth of premiership quality players which of course makes no sense as no one plays for 20 years so in effect you will never reach a full side's worth. So we need to tank away to get more early picks and then trade player(s) away to get even more picks. Investing in the National draft is the only way any club can get the best talented kids to their club.
Geelong's recruiting under Thompson........ (22 in bold are their 2007 premiership side)Pre-1999:
Harley (trade), King (PSD), Milburn (48), Scarlett (FS), Wojcinski (24)99: traded Mansfield for 31, Colbert + 53 for
Mooney + 15
Corey (8 ), Spriggs (15), Bray (17), Foster (23),
Chapman (31), Ling (38), Enright (47), Lindsay (r = promoted rookie)
00: traded Steinfort for 44, traded picks 11, 27, 42, 45, 57 for Kingsley, Murphy, White.
J.Hunt (44), Lowther (71), Simpson (79), Baldwin (r), O'Brien (r)
01: traded Murphy for 23, Bizzell for 17, 41, pick 55 for Grgic
Bartel (8 ), Kelly (17), Gardiner (23),
S.Johnson (24), G.Ablett (40-FS), Playfair (41), McGuiness (42), McCarthy (69), D.Johnson (81)
02: traded Burns for Finnin
Mackie (7), Lonergan (23), Callan (36-FS), Moloney (PSD),
Rooke (r), Chambers (r)
03: traded Clarke for Loats, Street for Haynes
Tenace (7), Thurley (22), Blake (38-FS), Spencer (42), Koulouriotis (PSD), Slade (r)
04: traded picks Moloney + 16 for
Ottens Prismall (32),
N.Ablett (48-FS), Egan (62),
Brynes (r)05: traded Chambers for 35
Varcoe (15), West (31), Owen (35), Gamble (47),
Stokes (61)06: no trades
Selwood (7), Djerrkura (25), Hawkins (41-FS), Hogan (57)
07: traded Playfair for 44, Callan + 66 for 62, King +Gardiner for 90
Taylor (17), D.Simpson (34), S.Simpson (44), Donohue (60+FS), Mumford (r)
08: traded Prismall for 39
Brown (15), Gillies (33), S.Motlop (39)