At the moment there are 2 spots in the 8 up for grabs with 6 teams a realistic chance - Geelong, Carlton, St Kilda, Richmond, North and Fremantle. In a tight finish like this percentage will play a big role and that would seem to eliminate North and Fremantle, and given the draw Geelong, Carlton and St Kilda have much harder runs home than us so a spot in the finals is really ours to lose as I see it.