AFL run home, finals, top eight, minor premiers, Richmond, Western Bulldogs, AdelaideGilbert Gardiner and Ben Higgins,
Herald Sun
18 July 2017Gilbert Gardiner has cast his eye over the run home and it doesn’t look good for the Western Bulldogs, despite a predicted four wins in the final six weeks.
With a congested mid-table fight for finals, the Bulldogs are predicted to miss out, along with Essendon and St Kilda.
It would mean the current ladder holds to Round 23 with West Coast holding on to eighth and Port Adelaide fending off Richmond for the double chance.
Adelaide is predicted to finish as minor premiers with just one loss in the run home, ahead of Geelong and GWS.
5. RICHMOND (107.4%, 40PTS)
R18 GWS Giants (MCG) L
R19 Gold Coast (MS) W
R20 Hawthorn (MCG) W
R21 Geelong (SS) L
R22 Fremantle (S) W
R23 St Kilda (MCG) W
GILBERT GARDINER SAYS: Did a job on Port Adelaide behind enemy lines and will need to do the same against Geelong in Round 21 to keep faint top-four hopes alive. The Giants are gettable, but mindful of their midfield class and tall timber forward which could stretch the Tigers.
BEN HIGGINS SAYS: Despite sitting comfortably in fifth, the Tigers are still rated a far from convincing 73 per cent chance of playing finals by Champion Data. On current form only the clash against Gold Coast would be seen as an obvious win. Missing the finals from here would take “Richmondy” to a whole new level. Surely not!
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/more-news/is-your-team-a-finals-chance-champion-data-rates-every-team/news-story/46d9da1736bac6c794b7156431fcf780