Can Richmond challenge again in 2022? [merged]

[Damo]

We will win it

[Tiger Khosh]

After tonight I’m backing us in as long as we make finals, top4 or not*

Assuming we go into finals with a healthy list

[mat073]

In another Universe we should currently be sitting on top of the ladder this year .

All the ingredients are there - just something is a little off .

Too many wins have been left on the table.

[WilliamPowell]

We will give it one helluva shake not matter where we finish

Have always believed we will make finals , haven't deviated from that.

[one-eyed]

The run home after Round 15

Ben Sutton
afl.com.au
26 June 2022

9. Richmond

32 points (eight wins, six losses), 116.2 per cent

The Tigers missed a golden chance to close the gap on the top four with Saturday's heartbreaking loss to the Cats. The good news is they have a relatively good run home with only two matches against two top-eight sides – both of which are in Melbourne. Tricky clashes against Gold Coast and Port Adelaide on the road will be crucial, but the Tigers should do enough to make finals and no one will want to face them in September.

The run home

R16: West Coast @ MCG
R17: Gold Coast @ Metricon Stadium
R18: North Melbourne @ Marvel Stadium
R19: Fremantle @ Marvel Stadium
R20: Brisbane @ MCG
R21: Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval
R22: Hawthorn @ MCG
R23: Essendon @ MCG

https://www.afl.com.au/news/784927/the-run-home-blues-massive-boost-lions-cop-reality-check

[one-eyed]

The Run Home after Round 15: Six teams fighting for last two spots in the top eight

Max Laughton
Fox Sports
June 27th, 2022

9. RICHMOND (8-6, 116.2%)

Remaining games

Round 16: West Coast Eagles at the MCG
Round 17: Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium
Round 18: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium
Round 19: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium
Round 20: Brisbane Lions at the MCG
Round 21: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval
Round 22: Hawthorn at the MCG
Round 23: Essendon at the MCG

Historic chance of playing finals from current record: 64%

Remaining fixture difficulty: Easiest

They’re out of the eight after Collingwood’s win on Sunday afternoon, but the Tigers showed more than enough to prove they remain a genuine contender in 2022.

After all a game as close as theirs against Geelong was a coin flip - and if Tom Stewart hadn’t done something so terrible, that could’ve turned it from heads to tails. Alas, the send-off rule was not implemented midgame, and so Richmond loses the eight-pointer.

We’re still feeling pretty good about their finals chances. They should go into their next three games (at least) as favourites, arguably all eight depending on how you feel about Fremantle and Brisbane on the road compared to at home.

At worst, the Tigers should win five of six against the Eagles, Suns, Kangaroos, Power, Hawks and Bombers - something would have to go terribly wrong for them to do any worse. That’s 13 wins and, with a strong percentage, they’d be safe.

St Kilda’s apparent collapse is one fewer team for them to pass. The Tigers just have to hope Collingwood slips up one or twice, or that the Bulldogs don’t bulldoze through their murderer’s row of a fixture. The latter seems more likely.

Or Richmond could win seven or eight of their last eight games and threaten a top four spot. They’re two games back but we wouldn’t put it past them.

Fox Footy’s projection: 13 projected wins, finishing 8th

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PROJECTED FINAL LADDER

1. Melbourne (15.55 projected wins)
2. Geelong Cats (15.1)
3. Brisbane Lions (14.95)
4. Fremantle (14.45)
5. Carlton (14.25)
6. Sydney Swans (14)
7. Collingwood (13.15)
8. Richmond (13)
----------------------------
9. Western Bulldogs (12.2)
10. St Kilda (12)
11. Gold Coast Suns (11.5)
12. Port Adelaide (10.95)
13. Adelaide Crows (8.3)
14. Hawthorn (7.95)
15. GWS Giants (7.35)
16. Essendon (6.1)
17. West Coast Eagles (4.25)
18. North Melbourne (2.95)

PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS

First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Melbourne vs Fremantle at the MCG

First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Carlton vs Richmond at the MCG

Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Sydney Swans vs Collingwood at the SCG

Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions at the MCG

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2022-the-run-home-after-round-15-predicted-ladder-top-eight-finals-ladder-predictor-analysis-fixture/news-story/e018ddea0ffbb9243a22c2145e95ac51

[one-eyed]

David King and Gerard Whateley have named their top six seeds after Round 15 of the 2022 AFL season.

KING:

1. Melbourne

“They’re back.

“We’ve made alterations all year with Melbourne, and we shouldn’t have.”

2. Geelong

“Five in a row. Playing some serious footy.

“Measured approach to winning the flag this year.”

3. Brisbane

“I’m maintaining the faith.

“I just think up there they’re going to be a different team.

“They’ve got a winnable month.”

4. Carlton

“I think they’ve got reasons why they can challenge at the end of the year.

“Lots of stocks to come back.”

5. Richmond

“That was a cracking game of football.

“They’ve been in great form the Tigers. Their intercept game is through the roof. If (Dion) Prestia plays they win that game.”

6. Fremantle



WHATELEY:

1. Melbourne

“Melbourne are my number one seed as well.”

2. Carlton

“I love the way they’re playing.”

3. Geelong

“The first time they’ve been in my four.

“But with (Tom) Stewart to come out, that’s to be revised.”

4. Richmond

“I had a play-in game. They both played so well they’ve both gone in.

“For an hour they looked like the Richmond that I know and fear.”

5. Fremantle

“Overly harsh, but I really like my four up above.”

6. Collingwood

“You win five in a row, you roar up in my estimations.”

https://www.sen.com.au/news/2022/06/27/king-and-whateley-top-6-seeds-after-round-15-2022/

[one-eyed]

Power Rankings after Round 15

Max Laughton
Foxsports
28 June 2022

1. Melbourne
2. Fremantle
3. Geelong
4. Brisbane
5. Sydney

6. RICHMOND (8-6, 116.2%)

Last week’s ranking: 5

It feels weird having so much confidence in a team that isn’t even in the top eight, but it’s hard not to believe in a Tigers side that easily could’ve (should’ve?) beaten Geelong. And remember the controversial finish to the Sydney game? Those are Richmond’s only two losses since Anzac Day. It’s clear at this point we almost need to throw out their first six weeks, as they weren’t playing this chaotic game style that worked so well for them in the past and is working wonders once again. They’ll probably need to make a run from the bottom half of the eight, but it’s very easy to imagine these Tigers in a preliminary final - beat Carlton in an elimination final, then Geelong in a semi-final, or something? - and from there anyone can win the whole damn thing. (Imagine saying the team in ninth can win the flag! What a stupid, great season this is.)


7. Carlton
8. W.Bulldogs
9. Collingwood
10. St Kilda
11. Gold Coast
12. Port Adelaide

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/every-topeight-spot-changes-after-afls-biggest-round-now-who-can-win-the-flag-power-rankings/news-story/72fb81dff6006bb4b2d8d64ead388c97

[one-eyed]

Richmond fell out of the top eight with their heart-breaking loss to the Cats last Saturday, but they lost no friends in the process.

“That game had everything; just as a spectacle of Australian football, I can’t think of too many better games in recent times,” Matthew Richardson said.

In fact, such was the manner in which the Tigers went down in the MCG classic, many are saying they’re actually better placed for a tilt at a flag, despite the loss.

Richardson says the Tigers can compete with the best, but there’s one obvious obstacle in front of them first.

“I think the Tigers’ best footy is right up there with anyone at the moment,” he said.

“There hasn’t been a game this year where they haven’t been in front. They’ve had some bad quarters here and there, but overall, I think their form stacks up, I think their game plan stacks up to big September footy.

“I think they’ll be thereabouts, but the problem is: you’ve got to make the finals first. There are so many teams putting their hands up to make it because you’ve got a couple of teams at the bottom not winning, so you’re going to probably need 13 wins to make it.

“If they make it, I think Richmond’s game plan’s good enough to win a final for sure.”

Source: 7news.

[Tiger Khosh]

Back in the 8 without lifting a finger 

[Rampsation]

My ladder predictor has us beating geelong in a qualifying final then smashing geelong again the grand final. Mark it down. Cup 14 will be in the trophy cabinet soon.

[Andyy]

My ladder predictor has us beating geelong in a qualifying final then smashing geelong again the grand final. Mark it down. Cup 14 will be in the trophy cabinet soon.

The stuff dreams are made of. Wouldn't mind beating Lions in a prelim while we're at it

[Gracie]

My ladder predictor has us beating geelong in a qualifying final then smashing geelong again the grand final. Mark it down. Cup 14 will be in the trophy cabinet soon.

Beating Geelong twice in the same finals series. Now that is next level and we would be in Geelong's and Salty's head for many years to come.

Make it so Richmond

[one-eyed]

AFL run home: Who makes finals? And what will the top four look like?

Aidan Cellini
The Sporting News
1 July 2022

9. Richmond

32 points (8-6 - 116.2 per cent)

Stiff not to be in the eight, Richmond's last two months have been near faultless, with losses only coming from Sydney (six points) and Geelong (three points).

We are now witnessing the Tiger of old that saw the club break a 37-year drought in 2017, which was followed up with another two flags in three years.

Their stars are firing on all cylinders and are a very strong chance to push toward the top four, if they don't stumble against teams they should beat.

Taking on Fremantle and Brisbane in Melbourne, punters will predict Richmond's rise up the ladder to be dramatic, causing mayhem as they surpass their rivals.

--------------------------------

Predicted Finish

Geelong   
Melbourne   
Brisbane   
Fremantle   
Carlton   
Sydney   
Richmond   
Collingwood
--------------------
Western Bulldogs
Gold Coast   
St Kilda
Port Adelaide   
Hawthorn   
GWS Giants
Adelaide   
Essendon   
West Coast
North Melbourne   

https://www.sportingnews.com/au/afl/news/afl-run-home-who-makes-finals-and-what-will-top-four-look/oka98nwdunaffnpy8bciqnvd

[Tiger Khosh]

Back in the 8 without lifting a finger 

And back out of the 8 without lifting a finger