Can Richmond challenge again in 2022? [merged]

[Tiger Khosh]

Big 4 points if we can get over the line with the doggies, blues and swans now losing. Even more so if suns manage to get up over the pies.

[Rampsation]

I genuinely believe we can win the flag

[Damo]

I genuinely believe we can win the flag

Agree

[pmac21]

Not sure if Pies winning good for us or not.  2 injuries to the suns late might help next week if we can get over the line tomorrow

[mightytiges]

Not sure if Pies winning good for us or not.  2 injuries to the suns late might help next week if we can get over the line tomorrow

Hopefully the Suns have a bit of a downer given they needed to win last night to keep their finals chances alive. They've also lost another defender.

Pies lose Moore which is a big loss. A team with quality KPFs will expose them. Chol was pushed aside too easily in the contest last night. A frustrating trait he had when he was with us.

[Tiger Khosh]

Pies have a very winnable next month starting with north next week. They have 3 tough games to close the season though. We just need to win out for the rest of the season which I think we are capable of injuries permitting.

[georgies31]

One game at a time let's control our own full 4 walls rest will look after itself.

[one-eyed]

The Run Home after Round 16, predicted ladder, top eight, finals, ladder predictor, analysis, fixture

Max Laughton
Fox Sports
July 3rd, 2022 8:12 pm

7. RICHMOND (9-6, 117.8%)

Remaining games:

Round 17: Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium

Round 18: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium

Round 19: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium

Round 20: Brisbane Lions at the MCG

Round 21: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval

Round 22: Hawthorn at the MCG

Round 23: Essendon at the MCG

Historic chance of playing finals from current record: 77%

Remaining fixture difficulty: 15th-hardest

It was a hell of a lot closer than the win over the Eagles earlier this year, but the Tigers catapulted themselves back into the eight, taking advantage of loses by Sydney and the Bulldogs.

And this is why we were so confident in Richmond last week, even when they were ninth. They’ll be favoured in at least five of their last seven games and their percentage is the fifth-best in the comp.

Gold Coast next week isn’t a shoe-in, and the games against Port, Hawthorn and Essendon aren’t automatic either (especially playing Port away), but we’d be floored if Richmond didn’t get to 13 wins from here.

The Dockers and Lions games have become eight-pointers which give the Tigers a sneaky chance of cracking the top four.

Fox Footy’s projection: 13.3 projected wins, finishing 7th

----------------------------

PROJECTED FINAL LADDER

1. Melbourne (15.85 projected wins)
2. Geelong  (15.3)
3. Brisbane  (15.25)
4. Fremantle (14.8 )
5. Collingwood (13.85)
6. Carlton (13.7)
7. Richmond (13.3)
8. Sydney Swans (13.25)
-----------------------------
9. St Kilda (12.55)
10. Western Bulldogs (11.85)
11. Gold Coast Suns (10.9)
12. Port Adelaide (10.6)
13. Adelaide Crows (8.05)
14. GWS Giants (7.85)
15. Hawthorn (7.55)
16. Essendon (6.8 )
17. West Coast Eagles (4)
18. North Melbourne (2.55)

PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS

First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Melbourne vs Fremantle at the MCG

First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Collingwood vs Sydney Swans at the MCG

Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Carlton vs Richmond at the MCG

Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions at the MCG

Note: It was reported in 2018 the AFL would consider playing finals on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday if all four games “should” be at the MCG, rather than the usual Thursday, Friday, two on Saturday format.

The most likely alternative would be playing one at Marvel Stadium, because Geelong’s GMHBA Stadium is mid-development, though it’s hard to work out which game would move (since you wouldn’t want to shut out 40k Blues and Tigers fans). Four at the ‘G seems more likely.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2022-the-run-home-after-round-16-predicted-ladder-top-eight-finals-ladder-predictor-analysis-fixture/news-story/078b70593830142b4f3fbadcac9ec91f

[one-eyed]

Matthew Lloyd has us now ranked third best in the competition behind Melbourne and Geelong.



Source: Lloyd and Barrett on the AFL website.

[Tiger Khosh]

Matthew Lloyd has us now ranked third best in the competition behind Melbourne and Fremantle.



Source: Lloyd and Barrett on the AFL website.

Melbourne and Geelong*

[one-eyed]

Melbourne and Geelong*

Ta for the correction, TK. I'll blame my subconscious aversion to the snipers  .

[Tiger Khosh]

At the end of round 16-

2017: 9-6
2019: 9-6
2020: 10-1-4

2022: 9-6……

[georgies31]

At the end of round 16-

2017: 9-6
2019: 9-6
2020: 10-1-4

2022: 9-6……

Gez common pattern,  but cannot remember if injuries we're the same at this point.

[Damo]

At the end of round 16-

2017: 9-6
2019: 9-6
2020: 10-1-4

2022: 9-6……

Gez common pattern,  but cannot remember if injuries we're the same at this point.

We have a relatively clean bill of health currently
Been very lucky really and have avoided long term injuries , touchwood

[Rampsation]

We need to find a player like we found Townsend in 2017. Someone who comes out of nowhere and starts making big contributions. I think Stack can be that player. Hes got class and a bit of spite. Townsend came in r17 of 2017 lets bring Stack in against Norf Hopefully he kicks 6 playing in the forward line and gives us this one last piece in the drive to winning this flag.