Can Richmond challenge again in 2023?

[FooffooValve]

i even think with 3 wins we still wont make it.

i wonder how many years you need 13 plus wins to make the 8. i wouldnt thought many.

Remember there was an extra round this year.

[pmac21]

With the Swans probably beating Suns it makes it near impossible. 

[WilliamPowell]

With the Swans probably beating Suns it makes it near impossible.

Not necessarily they have Adel in Adelaide and the then Melbourne up there. They need to win probably both

[Francois Jackson]

i even think with 3 wins we still wont make it.

i wonder how many years you need 13 plus wins to make the 8. i wouldnt thought many.

Remember there was an extra round this year.

That's right. Completely forgot.

We have next to no chance then.

[Jonesracing82]

If Dogs beat Hawks tm & Saints beat us we are mathematically out of the running.

[Tiger_In_Sicily]

Reality is we don't deserve to make finals

[WilliamPowell]

Reality is we don't deserve to make finals

End of the day win all 3 or not we don't deserve it

It is a wasted season

[one-eyed]

13. RICHMOND (9-11-1, 93.1%)

To play: North Melbourne at the MCG, Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval

‘Easiest’ path to top eight: Win twice by big margins AND Sydney loses twice by big margins AND the Western Bulldogs lose twice AND GWS vs Essendon is a draw AND Adelaide, GWS and Essendon lose in Round 24

Best case: Finish 8th (see above scenario, and there may be others just as complex)

Worst case: Miss finals by losing once, or any of the above requirements don’t happen

Analysis: Look, they’re done. The absolute minimum to make the eight now is 11 and a half wins - the Tigers can get there, but have a terrible percentage, and so would need enormous margins in their favour in both their games and other teams’ games. They also would need a GWS-Essendon draw (because otherwise one of them reaches 12 wins and locks them out).

Fox Footy’s prediction: Go 1-1, finish 13th at 10-12-1

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2023-the-run-home-after-round-22-predicted-ladder-top-eight-finals-ladder-predictor-analysis-fixture-scenarios/news-story/8a7ddb596274e9b4f8c0f3d8288133f6

[one-eyed]

Power Rankings after Round 22

Max Laughton
Foxsports
15 August 2023

15. RICHMOND (9-11-1, 93.1%)

Last week’s ranking: 11

So Damien Hardwick was right. Part of the reason he left the Tigers was the realisation they almost certainly weren’t going to contend this season, as he’d hoped - and that was probably obvious a little while ago - but now they’re out of the finals mix entirely. It’s easy to say it was always going to be hard once Tom Lynch went down, and they were relying on a near-the-end Jack Riewoldt to take the No.1 forward every week. And he’s done an admirable job given the circumstances. But we won’t let that be the excuse. Something changed over the last two weeks, where they lost to the Bulldogs and Saints by a combined 91 points; two games that seemed (and should’ve been) entirely winnable. Or at least should’ve been close. Did they all just get tired at the same time? Maybe. But it’s been a pretty depressing end to a season that otherwise saw them competitive almost every week - just like last year.

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-news-2023-power-rankings-after-round-22-highlights-every-club-ranked-analysis-ladder-predictions-finals-contenders/news-story/75bb9f34d53d032134368b6658907444